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1948-2008 年火箭动力公司(原子国际公司)放射工作人员死亡率分析更新。

Updated mortality analysis of radiation workers at Rocketdyne (Atomics International), 1948-2008.

机构信息

International Epidemiology Institute, Rockville, Maryland 20850, USA.

出版信息

Radiat Res. 2011 Aug;176(2):244-58. doi: 10.1667/RR2487.1. Epub 2011 Mar 7.

Abstract

Updated analyses of mortality data are presented on 46,970 workers employed 1948-1999 at Rocketdyne (Atomics International). Overall, 5,801 workers were involved in radiation activities, including 2,232 who were monitored for intakes of radionuclides, and 41,169 workers were engaged in rocket testing or other non-radiation activities. The worker population is unique in that lifetime occupational doses from all places of employment were sought, updated and incorporated into the analyses. Further, radiation doses from intakes of 14 different radionuclides were calculated for 16 organs or tissues using biokinetic models of the International Commission on Radiation Protection (ICRP). Because only negligible exposures were received by the 247 workers monitored for radiation activities after 1999, the mean dose from external radiation remained essentially the same at 13.5 mSv (maximum 1 Sv) as reported previously, as did the mean lung dose from external and internal radiation combined at 19.0 mSv (maximum 3.6 Sv). An additional 9 years of follow-up, from December 31,1999 through 2008, increased the person-years of observation for the radiation workers by 21.7% to 196,674 (mean 33.9 years) and the number of cancer deaths by 50% to 684. Analyses included external comparisons with the general population and the computation of standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) and internal comparisons using proportional hazards models and the computation of relative risks (RRs). A low SMR for all causes of death (SMR 0.82; 95% CI 0.78-0.85) continued to indicate that the Rocketdyne radiation workers were healthier than the general population and were less likely to die. The SMRs for all cancers taken together (SMR 0.88; 95% CI 0.81-0.95), lung cancer (SMR 0.87; 95% CI 0.76-1.00) and leukemia other than chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) (SMR 1.04; 95% 0.67-1.53) were not significantly elevated. Cox regression analyses revealed no significant dose-response trends for any cancer. For all cancers excluding leukemia, the RR at 100 mSv was estimated as 0.98 (95% CI 0.82-1.17), and for all leukemia other than CLL it was 1.06 (95% CI 0.50-2.23). Uranium was the primary radionuclide contributing to internal exposures, but no significant increases in lung and kidney disease were seen. The extended follow-up reinforces the findings in the previous study in failing to observe a detectable increase in cancer deaths associated with radiation, but strong conclusions still cannot be drawn because of small numbers and relatively low career doses. Larger combined studies of early workers in the United States using similar methodologies are warranted to refine and clarify radiation risks after protracted exposures.

摘要

现呈现了 46970 名 1948 年至 1999 年期间在 Rocketdyne(原子国际公司)工作的工人的死亡率数据的最新分析。总的来说,有 5801 名工人从事辐射活动,其中 2232 人接受了放射性核素摄入监测,41169 名工人从事火箭测试或其他非辐射活动。该工人群体的独特之处在于,寻求、更新并将所有工作场所的终身职业剂量纳入分析中。此外,使用国际辐射防护委员会(ICRP)的生物动力学模型,计算了 16 个器官或组织中来自 14 种不同放射性核素的摄入辐射剂量。由于在 1999 年后仅对从事辐射活动的 247 名工人进行了微不足道的监测,因此外部辐射的平均剂量仍与之前报告的 13.5 mSv(最大 1 Sv)基本相同,外部和内部辐射联合作用于肺部的平均剂量也为 19.0 mSv(最大 3.6 Sv)。另外 9 年的随访时间(截至 1999 年 12 月 31 日至 2008 年)使辐射工人的观察人年增加了 21.7%,达到 196674 人(平均 33.9 岁),癌症死亡人数增加了 50%,达到 684 人。分析包括与普通人群的外部比较,以及计算标准化死亡率比(SMR),并使用比例风险模型进行内部比较,以及计算相对风险(RR)。所有死因的低 SMR(SMR 0.82;95%CI 0.78-0.85)继续表明 Rocketdyne 辐射工人比普通人群更健康,死亡的可能性更小。所有癌症的 SMR 总和(SMR 0.88;95%CI 0.81-0.95)、肺癌(SMR 0.87;95%CI 0.76-1.00)和除慢性淋巴细胞白血病(CLL)以外的白血病(SMR 1.04;95%CI 0.67-1.53)均未显著升高。Cox 回归分析显示,任何癌症均无显著的剂量-反应趋势。对于所有癌症(不包括白血病),在 100 mSv 时的 RR 估计为 0.98(95%CI 0.82-1.17),对于所有除 CLL 以外的白血病,RR 为 1.06(95%CI 0.50-2.23)。铀是导致内照射的主要放射性核素,但未发现肺部和肾脏疾病有显著增加。延长随访时间强化了之前研究的发现,即未观察到与辐射相关的癌症死亡人数的可检测增加,但由于数量较小且职业暴露相对较低,仍无法得出强有力的结论。需要对美国早期工人进行更大规模的联合研究,使用类似的方法来细化和阐明长期暴露后的辐射风险。

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