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汽车财产事故和伤害事故中的周期性日历和农历模式。

Cyclical calendar and lunar patterns in automobile property accidents and injury accidents.

作者信息

Laverty W H, Kelly I W

机构信息

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Canada.

出版信息

Percept Mot Skills. 1998 Feb;86(1):299-302. doi: 10.2466/pms.1998.86.1.299.

Abstract

Nine years of traffic accidents involving damage to property (n = 246,926 accidents) and involving nonfatal injury (n = 50,492) in Saskatchewan were examined by regression and spectral analyses. Both calendar and seasonal periodicities were found in both sets of data. After data were adjusted for calendar effects, no relationship was found with the total or half synodic and anomalistic lunar cycles or between the waxing and waning synodic cycle. No sudden change on the day of the full moon or surrounding days was found.

摘要

通过回归分析和频谱分析,对萨斯喀彻温省九年里涉及财产损失(n = 246,926起事故)和非致命伤害(n = 50,492起)的交通事故进行了研究。在这两组数据中均发现了日历和季节周期性。在对数据进行日历效应调整后,未发现与朔望月、近点月的完整周期或半周期,以及朔望月的盈缺周期之间存在关联。在满月当天或其周边日期未发现突然变化。

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