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几个工业国家男女性别出生比例下降:一个哨兵健康指标?

Reduced ratio of male to female births in several industrial countries: a sentinel health indicator?

作者信息

Davis D L, Gottlieb M B, Stampnitzky J R

机构信息

World Resources Institute, Washington, DC 20006, USA.

出版信息

JAMA. 1998 Apr 1;279(13):1018-23. doi: 10.1001/jama.279.13.1018.

Abstract

CONTEXT

The sex ratio of 1.06:1, the ratio of male to female births, has declined over the past decades. Recent reports from a number of industrialized countries indicate that the proportion of males born has significantly decreased, while some male reproductive tract disorders have increased.

OBJECTIVES

To examine the evidence for declines in the male proportion at birth and suspected causes for this decline, and to determine whether altered sex ratio can be considered a sentinel health event.

DATA SOURCES

Birth records were analyzed from national statistical agencies.

STUDY SELECTION

Published analyses of trends in ratio of males to females at birth and studies of sex determinants evaluating epidemiological and endocrinological factors.

DATA EXTRACTION

Proportion of males born: 1950-1994 in Denmark; 1950-1994 in the Netherlands; 1970-1990 in Canada; and 1970-1990 in the United States.

DATA SYNTHESIS

Since 1950, significant declines in the proportion of males born have been reported in Denmark and the Netherlands. Similar declines have been reported for Canada and the United States since 1970 and parallel declines also have occurred in Sweden, Germany, Norway, and Finland. In Denmark, the proportion of males declined from 0.515 in 1950 to 0.513 in 1994. In the Netherlands, the proportion of males declined from 0.516 in 1950 to 0.513 in 1994. Similar declines in the proportion of males born in Canada and the United States are equivalent to a shift from male to female births of 8600 and 38000 births, respectively. Known and hypothesized risk factors for reduced sex ratio at birth cannot fully account for recent trends.

CONCLUSION

Patterns of reduced sex ratio need to be carefully assessed to determine whether they are occurring more generally, whether temporal or spatial variations are evident, and whether they constitute a sentinel health event.

摘要

背景

出生性别比为1.06:1(男女性别出生比例),在过去几十年中有所下降。一些工业化国家最近的报告表明,出生男婴的比例显著下降,而一些男性生殖道疾病却有所增加。

目的

研究出生时男性比例下降的证据及其下降的可能原因,并确定性别比的改变是否可被视为一个警示性健康事件。

数据来源

对国家统计机构的出生记录进行分析。

研究选择

已发表的关于出生时男女性别比趋势的分析以及评估流行病学和内分泌学因素的性别决定因素研究。

数据提取

丹麦1950 - 1994年、荷兰1950 - 1994年、加拿大1970 - 1990年以及美国1970 - 1990年出生男婴的比例。

数据综合

自1950年以来,丹麦和荷兰报告出生男婴比例显著下降。自1970年以来,加拿大和美国也有类似下降情况,瑞典、德国、挪威和芬兰也出现了类似的下降。在丹麦,男性比例从1950年的0.515降至1994年的0.513。在荷兰,男性比例从1950年的0.516降至1994年的0.513。加拿大和美国出生男婴比例的类似下降分别相当于出生性别从男性向女性转变了8600例和38000例。已知的和假设的出生时性别比降低的风险因素不能完全解释近期的趋势。

结论

需要仔细评估性别比降低的模式,以确定它们是否更普遍地发生、是否存在明显的时间或空间变化,以及它们是否构成一个警示性健康事件。

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