Liddell F D, McDonald A D, McDonald J C
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, McGill University, Montreal, Canada.
Ann Occup Hyg. 1998 Jan;42(1):7-20. doi: 10.1016/s0003-4878(97)00053-7.
A large cohort of men born between 1891 and 1920 and employed for at least a month in the chrysotile producing industry of Quebec has been under study since 1966. These men were followed from first employment (the earliest in 1904) to 1992, by which time over 8000 had died, 657 from lung cancer. The current study is of 488 cases of lung cancer formerly employed at three places, viz. a major complex, here called Company 3, in the region of Thetford Mines (243 cases), the mine and mill in the town of Asbestos (206) and a small asbestos-products factory in the same town (39). For each case, four referents were sought by random selection from among survivors to a greater age, after matching on place of employment, age of starting work, smoking habit and date of birth. This process was highly successful, although six cases had less than four referents. For each man (the 488 cases with 1941 referents) and for each calendar year of employment, we obtained the fraction of the year worked at various levels of intensity, assessed in 13 'dust categories' of mpcf (million particles per cubic foot). We then calculated how many years each man spent at these various levels; these years, adjusted for the length of the working week (66 h until 1937; 48 h 1938-1949; and 40 h 1950-1985), were accumulated up to ten years before the death of the case. The men were classified according as they were non- or ex-smokers, or smokers, of cigarettes. For each man at Company 3 and one referent for each, his years of work in a central area of five mines and in a peripheral area of ten mines were differentiated; contamination of the chrysotile by fibrous tremolite was known to be much greater in the central than in the peripheral area. Case-referent comparisons, within place of employment, were made by conditional logistic regression. As anticipated from earlier subject-years analyses, lung cancer risks were found to be negligible for years worked in dust categories 1 and 2 (averaging 0.5 and 2 mpcf), regardless of place; as the upper limit of category 1 is considerably higher than permitted nowadays, the lung cancer risk from exposure to chrysotile at permitted levels can be taken as extremely small. Patterns of exposure-response for higher categories were irregular. At Company 3, some risks appeared elevated for years spent in the higher dust categories: 3-4, 5-7, 8-10 and 11-13, with averages around 9, 20, 36 and 92 mpcf, respectively. For categories 3-4 and 8-10, the odds ratios were high for some or all work in the central area, but minimal for years spent in the peripheral area only. Odds ratios were fairly low for cigarette smokers who worked in categories 5-7 and also for years spent in the highest categories (11-13). At the mine and mill in Asbestos, all risks were low except for years worked by non- and ex-smokers in categories 7-13 (ca. 40 mpcf). There were no increased risks at the factory. It was known from the subject-years analyses that most of the excess had occurred at Company 3, but it is now clear that for all practical purposes it was confined to the central area there, probably due largely to fibrous tremolite and in dust conditions of at least dust category 3. The average of this category was 7 mpcf or very roughly 24 fibres/ml, about two orders of magnitude higher than today's hygiene standards.
自1966年以来,一直在对一大群出生于1891年至1920年之间、在魁北克温石棉生产行业至少工作过一个月的男性进行研究。这些男性从首次就业(最早于1904年)开始被跟踪至1992年,到那时已有8000多人死亡,其中657人死于肺癌。当前的研究对象是曾在三个地方工作过的488例肺癌患者,即塞特福德矿地区的一个大型综合企业(这里称为公司3,有243例)、石棉镇的矿山和工厂(206例)以及同一城镇的一家小型石棉制品厂(39例)。对于每一例患者,在根据就业地点、开始工作年龄、吸烟习惯和出生日期进行匹配后,从年龄更大的幸存者中随机挑选四名对照者。这个过程非常成功,尽管有六例患者的对照者少于四人。对于每一名男性(488例患者及1941名对照者)以及就业的每一个日历年,我们得出了在不同强度水平下工作的年份占比,强度是按照13个“粉尘类别”以每立方英尺百万颗粒(mpcf)来评估的。然后我们计算出每名男性在这些不同水平下度过了多少年;这些年份根据工作周时长进行了调整(1937年之前为66小时;1938 - 1949年为48小时;1950 - 1985年为40小时),并累计到病例死亡前的十年。这些男性按照是否吸烟进行分类,分为不吸烟者、曾经吸烟者或吸烟者。对于公司3的每一名男性及其各自的一名对照者,区分了他们在五个矿山的中心区域和十个矿山的周边区域的工作年限;已知温石棉被纤维状透闪石的污染在中心区域比周边区域要严重得多。在就业地点内,病例与对照者的比较通过条件逻辑回归进行。正如早期按人年分析所预期的那样,发现在粉尘类别1和2(平均分别为0.5和2 mpcf)下工作的年份,无论在何处工作,肺癌风险都可忽略不计;由于类别1的上限远高于如今允许的水平,所以在允许水平下接触温石棉导致的肺癌风险可被视为极小。更高类别的暴露 - 反应模式并不规则。在公司3,在较高粉尘类别(3 - 4、5 - 7、8 - 10和11 - 13,平均分别约为9、20、36和92 mpcf)下工作的年份,一些风险似乎有所升高。对于类别3 - 4和8 - 10,在中心区域工作的部分或全部年份的优势比很高,但仅在周边区域工作的年份优势比极小。在粉尘类别5 - 7下工作的吸烟者以及在最高类别(11 - 13)下工作的年份,优势比相当低。在石棉镇的矿山和工厂,除了不吸烟者和曾经吸烟者在类别7 - 13(约40 mpcf)下工作的年份外,所有风险都很低。在工厂没有发现风险增加。从按人年分析可知,大部分超额风险发生在公司3,但现在很清楚,实际上所有风险都局限于那里的中心区域,这可能主要是由于纤维状透闪石以及至少在粉尘类别3的粉尘条件下。该类别的平均值为7 mpcf,或者非常粗略地说为每毫升24根纤维,比当今的卫生标准高出约两个数量级。