Spix C, Anderson H R, Schwartz J, Vigotti M A, LeTertre A, Vonk J M, Touloumi G, Balducci F, Piekarski T, Bacharova L, Tobias A, Pönkä A, Katsouyanni K
GSF Forschungszentrum für Umwelt und Gesundheit, Institut für Epidemiologie, Neuherberg, Germany.
Arch Environ Health. 1998 Jan-Feb;53(1):54-64. doi: 10.1080/00039899809605689.
The Air Pollution and Health: a European Approach (APHEA) project is a coordinated study of the short-term effects of air pollution on mortality and hospital admissions. Five West European cities (i.e., London, Amsterdam, Rotterdam, Paris, Milano) contributed several years of hospital admissions data for all respiratory causes. In the current study, the authors describe the results obtained from the quantitative pooling (meta-analysis) of local analyses. The diagnostic group was defined by ICD 460-519. The age groups studied were 15-64 y (i.e., adults) and 65+ y (elderly). The air pollutants studied were sulfur dioxide; particles (i.e., Black Smoke or total suspended particles); ozone; and nitrogen dioxide. The pollutants were obtained from existing fixed-site monitors in a standardized manner. We used Poisson models and standardized confounder models to examine the associations between daily hospital admissions and air pollution. We conducted quantitative pooling by calculating the weighted means of local regression coefficients. We used a fixed-effects model when no heterogeneity could be detected; otherwise, we used a random-effects model. When possible, the authors investigated the factors correlated with heterogeneity. The most consistent and strong finding was a significant increase of daily admissions for respiratory diseases (adults and elderly) with elevated levels of ozone. This finding was stronger in the elderly, had a rather immediate effect (same or next day), and was homogeneous over cities. The elderly were affected more during the warm season. The Sulfur dioxide daily mean was available in all cities, and it was not associated consistently with an adverse effect. Effects were present in areas in which more than one station was used in the assessment of daily exposure. Some significant associations were observed, although no conclusion that related to an overall particle effect could be drawn. The effect of Black Smoke was significantly stronger with high nitrogen dioxide levels on the same day, but nitrogen dioxide itself was not associated with admissions. The ozone results were in good agreement with the results of similar U.S. studies. The coherence of the results of this study and other results gained under different conditions strengthens the argument for causality.
欧洲方法(APHEA)项目是一项关于空气污染对死亡率和住院率短期影响的协调性研究。五个西欧城市(即伦敦、阿姆斯特丹、鹿特丹、巴黎、米兰)提供了数年所有呼吸道病因的住院数据。在当前研究中,作者描述了从局部分析的定量汇总(荟萃分析)中获得的结果。诊断组由国际疾病分类(ICD)460 - 519定义。所研究的年龄组为15 - 64岁(即成年人)和65岁及以上(老年人)。所研究的空气污染物为二氧化硫;颗粒物(即黑烟或总悬浮颗粒物);臭氧;以及二氧化氮。这些污染物以标准化方式从现有的固定站点监测器获取。我们使用泊松模型和标准化混杂因素模型来检验每日住院率与空气污染之间的关联。我们通过计算局部回归系数的加权均值进行定量汇总。当未检测到异质性时,我们使用固定效应模型;否则,我们使用随机效应模型。作者尽可能调查了与异质性相关的因素。最一致且强烈的发现是,随着臭氧水平升高,呼吸道疾病(成年人和老年人)的每日住院率显著增加。这一发现在老年人中更明显,具有相当直接的影响(当天或次日),并且在各城市中具有同质性。老年人在温暖季节受影响更大。所有城市都有二氧化硫的日均值,且它与不良影响并无一致关联。在评估每日暴露时使用多个站点的地区存在影响。观察到了一些显著关联,尽管无法得出与颗粒物总体影响相关的结论。在同一天,高二氧化氮水平下黑烟的影响显著更强,但二氧化氮本身与住院率并无关联。臭氧的结果与美国类似研究的结果高度一致。本研究结果与在不同条件下获得的其他结果的一致性加强了因果关系的论据。