Watson J C, Redd S C, Rhodes P H, Hadler S C
National Immunization Program, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA 30333, USA.
Pediatr Infect Dis J. 1998 May;17(5):363-6; discussion 366-7. doi: 10.1097/00006454-199805000-00002.
The United States has a goal to eliminate all indigenous cases of measles by the year 2000. Initial interruption of indigenous measles transmission would be expected during a period of very low measles incidence as occurred during late 1993.
Indigenous measles cases (i.e. cases acquired in the United States and not traceable to any imported case) from 1993 were investigated to determine their source of infection. The probability of sustained undetected measles transmission between isolated indigenous cases was estimated.
Of the 312 measles cases reported for 1993, only 25 (8%) occurred after September 19. Of these only 4 cases (16%) could be classified as indigenous. The estimated probability that any of these 4 cases resulted from indigenous measles transmission in theirs or any adjoining counties was 0.05 or less.
Interruption of indigenous measles transmission appears to have occurred for the first time throughout the United States in 1993. This event provides strong support for the current national strategy for measles elimination. However, complete elimination of indigenous measles will require maintaining high population immunity to prevent spread from imported cases and attaining global measles control to prevent the importation of measles.
美国的目标是到2000年消除所有本土麻疹病例。预计在麻疹发病率极低的时期(如1993年末)会首次中断本土麻疹传播。
对1993年的本土麻疹病例(即在美国感染且无法追溯到任何输入病例的病例)进行调查,以确定其感染源。估计了在孤立的本土病例之间持续未被发现的麻疹传播概率。
1993年报告的312例麻疹病例中,仅25例(8%)发生在9月19日之后。其中只有4例(16%)可归类为本土病例。这4例病例中任何一例是由其所在县或任何相邻县的本土麻疹传播导致的估计概率为0.05或更低。
1993年美国首次在全国范围内出现了本土麻疹传播中断。这一事件为当前消除麻疹的国家战略提供了有力支持。然而,要完全消除本土麻疹,需要维持高人群免疫力以防止输入病例传播,并实现全球麻疹控制以防止麻疹输入。