Curran J M, Triggs C M, Buckleton J S, Walsh K, Hicks T
Department of Statistics, University of Auckland, New Zealand.
Sci Justice. 1998 Jan-Mar;38(1):15-21. doi: 10.1016/s1355-0306(98)72068-4.
When someone breaks glass a number of tiny fragments may be transferred to that person. If the glass is broken in the commission of a crime then these fragments may be used as evidence. A Bayesian interpretation of this evidence relies on the forensic scientist's ability to assess the probability of transfer. This paper examines the problem of assessing this probability and suggests some solutions.