Goedert J J, Coté T R, Virgo P, Scoppa S M, Kingma D W, Gail M H, Jaffe E S, Biggar R J
Viral Epidemiology Branch, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA.
Lancet. 1998 Jun 20;351(9119):1833-9. doi: 10.1016/s0140-6736(97)09028-4.
To clarify which types of cancer result from AIDS, we compared the cancer experiences of people with AIDS with those of the general population by matching population-based cancer and AIDS registries in the USA and Puerto Rico.
We used a probabilistic matching algorithm to compare names, birth dates, and, where available, social-security numbers of 98,336 people with AIDS and 1,125,098 people with cancer aged less than 70 years. We defined AIDS-related cancers as those with both significantly raised incidence post-AIDS and increasing prevalence from 5 years pre-AIDS to 2 years post-AIDS.
Among people with AIDS, we found 7028 cases of Kaposi's sarcoma (KS), 1793 of non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL), and 712 other cases of histologically defined cancer. Incidence rates among people with AIDS were increased 310-fold for KS, 113-fold for NHL, and 1.9-fold (95% CI 1.5-2.3) for other cancers. Of 38 malignant disorders other than KS and NHL, only angiosarcoma (36.7-fold), Hodgkin's disease (7.6-fold), multiple myeloma (4.5-fold), brain cancer (3.5-fold), and seminoma (2.9-fold) were raised and increasing significantly (p<0.02) from the pre-AIDS to the post-AIDS period.
Interpretation is complicated by screening and shared risk factors, such as sexual behaviour and cigarette smoking. However, our data indicate that AIDS leads to a significantly increased risk of Hodgkin's disease, multiple myeloma, brain cancer, and seminoma. Immunological failure to control herpes or other viral infections may contribute to these malignant diseases.
为明确哪些癌症由艾滋病引发,我们通过匹配美国和波多黎各基于人群的癌症登记处与艾滋病登记处,比较了艾滋病患者与普通人群的癌症患病情况。
我们使用概率匹配算法,比较了98336名艾滋病患者和1125098名年龄小于70岁的癌症患者的姓名、出生日期以及(如有)社会保障号码。我们将艾滋病相关癌症定义为艾滋病后发病率显著升高且从艾滋病前5年到艾滋病后2年患病率上升的癌症。
在艾滋病患者中,我们发现7028例卡波西肉瘤(KS)、1793例非霍奇金淋巴瘤(NHL)以及712例其他经组织学定义的癌症病例。艾滋病患者中KS的发病率增加了310倍,NHL增加了113倍,其他癌症增加了1.9倍(95%置信区间1.5 - 2.3)。在KS和NHL以外的38种恶性疾病中,只有血管肉瘤(36.7倍)、霍奇金病(7.6倍)、多发性骨髓瘤(4.5倍)、脑癌(3.5倍)和精原细胞瘤(2.9倍)在艾滋病前到艾滋病后期间发病率升高且显著增加(p<0.02)。
筛查和诸如性行为及吸烟等共同风险因素使解读变得复杂。然而,我们的数据表明艾滋病会导致霍奇金病、多发性骨髓瘤、脑癌和精原细胞瘤的风险显著增加。免疫功能无法控制疱疹或其他病毒感染可能促成这些恶性疾病。