Iribarren C, Crow R S, Hannan P J, Jacobs D R, Luepker R V
Division of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, USA.
Am J Cardiol. 1998 Jul 1;82(1):50-3. doi: 10.1016/s0002-9149(98)00240-9.
The validity of death certificate diagnosis of out-of-hospital sudden cardiac death (OOH-SCD) was studied among 108,676 30- to 74-year-old residents in 5 Minnesota communities using 6-year mortality data (1985 to 1990). Among 4,244 total deaths, location of death was listed on the certificate as out of hospital in 2,035 cases. Of those, 911 were judged not to have OOH-SCD because they had actually been admitted to the hospital or were noncardiovascular deaths. Among the remaining 1,124, 254 were diagnosed as OOH-SCD using a thorough, physician-based procedure that used clinical records, autopsy reports, and an informant (next-of-kin) interview. We used only death certificate information to define OOH-SCD simply and inexpensively as ICD-9 code 427.5 (cardiac arrest) plus location of death listed as out-of-hospital. Compared with the physician diagnosis, sensitivity was only 24%, whereas specificity was 85%. When the definition of OOH-SCD was expanded to include ICD codes 410-414 (acute myocardial infarction and chronic coronary artery disease), sensitivity improved to 87%, whereas specificity became 66%. However, even with this higher sensitivity and specificity, only 27% of the cases labeled OOH-SCD by death certificate agreed with the physician diagnosis. Death certificate diagnosis of OOH-SCD included many erroneous cases, and may not have been suitable for study of etiologic factors, such as cardiac dysrhythmias. Death certificate diagnosis may be useful to assess population time trends in OOH-SCD, provided that misclassification (false-positive rate) remains constant over time.
利用6年(1985年至1990年)的死亡率数据,对明尼苏达州5个社区的108,676名30至74岁居民进行了院外心脏性猝死(OOH-SCD)死亡证明诊断的有效性研究。在4244例总死亡病例中,死亡证明上列出的死亡地点为院外的有2035例。其中,911例被判定并非OOH-SCD,因为他们实际上已入院或属于非心血管死亡。在其余1124例中,通过一种全面的、基于医生的程序诊断出254例为OOH-SCD,该程序使用了临床记录、尸检报告以及对举报人(近亲)的访谈。我们仅使用死亡证明信息,将OOH-SCD简单且低成本地定义为国际疾病分类第九版(ICD-9)编码427.5(心脏骤停)加上列出的院外死亡地点。与医生诊断相比,敏感性仅为24%,而特异性为85%。当OOH-SCD的定义扩大到包括ICD编码410 - 414(急性心肌梗死和慢性冠状动脉疾病)时,敏感性提高到87%,而特异性变为66%。然而,即便有了这种更高的敏感性和特异性,死亡证明标注为OOH-SCD的病例中只有27%与医生诊断一致。OOH-SCD的死亡证明诊断包含许多错误病例,可能不适用于诸如心律失常等病因因素的研究。如果误分类(假阳性率)随时间保持不变,死亡证明诊断可能有助于评估OOH-SCD的人群时间趋势。