Holubkov R, Holt V L, Connell F A, LoGerfo J P
Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, School of Public Health and Community Medicine, Seattle, USA.
Health Serv Res. 1998 Aug;33(3 Pt 1):531-48.
To develop an effective, concise presentation of hospital-specific birth event and delivery-related complication rates, including significant deviations from expected rates calculated using risk-adjusted peer hospital data, for distribution to all Washington State hospitals with delivery services.
Complete data for calendar year 1993, including inpatient discharge records for mothers and newborns, birth certificates, and infant death records, for 74 hospitals from Washington state source files.
Institutions were classified into four peer groups based on presence of neonatal intensive care units, number of births, and rural/urban location. Twenty-three clinical indicators of procedure (e.g., cesarean section) and complication rates were analyzed and presented.
For each indicator, observed and expected rates (adjusted within peer group for categorized baseline risk factors) were calculated and presented by institution. Effective graphic and numeric techniques for presenting significant deviations from expected rates were developed. Results were calculated in terms of numbers of events as well as rates. Approaches applicable to institutions with small numbers of deliveries were selected.
Exact confidence intervals (C.I.s) for event rates were superior to binomial or Poisson approximations for small hospitals. For calculating expected rates, indirect adjustment was used due to small numbers within risk factor categories. For all indicators, observed and expected rates along with 95 percent C.I.s for the true rate were presented graphically by institution for each peer group. Transforming C.I.s into "statistically acceptable ranges" allowed hospital personnel to assess their performance in terms of actual numbers of events as well as rates.
Readily available statistical methods and straightforward descriptive approaches allow accurate presentation of outcomes for both large and small institutions.
编制一份有效且简洁的报告,呈现特定医院的分娩事件及分娩相关并发症发生率,包括与使用风险调整后的同类医院数据计算出的预期发生率存在的显著偏差,以供分发给华盛顿州所有提供分娩服务的医院。
来自华盛顿州源文件的74家医院1993年日历年的完整数据,包括母亲和新生儿的住院出院记录、出生证明及婴儿死亡记录。
根据新生儿重症监护病房的有无、分娩数量及农村/城市位置,将各机构分为四个同类组。分析并呈现了23项手术(如剖宫产)临床指标及并发症发生率。
针对每项指标,计算各机构的观察发生率和预期发生率(在同类组内针对分类的基线风险因素进行调整)并予以呈现。开发了有效的图形和数字技术来呈现与预期发生率的显著偏差。结果以事件数量和发生率两种形式计算得出。选择了适用于分娩数量较少机构的方法。
对于小型医院,事件发生率的精确置信区间优于二项式或泊松近似值。由于风险因素类别中的数量较少,计算预期发生率时采用了间接调整法。对于所有指标,各同类组内的每个机构都以图形方式呈现了观察发生率和预期发生率以及真实发生率的95%置信区间。将置信区间转换为“统计上可接受的范围”,使医院工作人员能够根据实际事件数量和发生率评估其表现。
现成的统计方法和直接的描述方法能够准确呈现大小机构的结果。