Preliminary results and worst-case analysis of in patient scoliosis rehabilitation.

The purpose of this study was to assess the effectiveness of a scoliosis-specific rehabilitation programme as it is carried out in the Katharina Schroth Spinal Deformities Rehabilitation Center. Physiotherapy in the treatment of scoliosis patients is still regarded as ineffective since the study by the American Orthopedic Association in 1941, which showed that general exercises could not influence the natural history of scoliosis. However, specific exercise programmes were not known in the USA at that time. This preliminary study started in 1989 with the following inclusion criteria: (1) diagnosis of idiopathic scoliosis; (2) risser sign < 4; (3) no treatment other than physiotherapy; (4) first control after 1-3 years during repeated in patient treatment; (5) standing AP radiograph taken not more than 6 months before the first in patient treatment. A total of 181 scoliosis patients, with an average age of 12.7 years and an average angle of curvature of 27% according to Cobb, were included in this study. The average risser sign was 1.4, the average follow-up 33 months. The Cobb angle of the major curve was measured in a standardized way. The results of our preliminary study were compared to natural history as known from literature. For the worst-case analysis additionally a questionnaire was sent to the non-repeaters treated at our centre at the same time (1989 and 1990) as the patient sample described above, taking into account the same inclusion criteria for this patient sample except point 4. Results showed that progression as usually defined (increase in curvature of 5 degrees or more per year) has not been found in the preliminary study. The patient sample of this study was divided into different age groups and different groups of curve magnitude, for comparison with other studies. Additional to the patient sample of the preliminary study, 116 of the patients from the years 1989 and 1990 fulfilled the inclusion criteria of the preliminary study with the exception of point 4. These patients formed the questionnaire sample for the worst-case analysis showing that the progression rate of the 181 patients from the preliminary study and the 116 patients of the questionnaire sample together was still better than natural history even if all drop-outs were considered to be failures. The fact that there was no relative progression in our patients sample treated solely by physiotherapy (preliminary study), seems to show the effectiveness of the inpatient rehabilitation programme even in cases with a bad prognosis, severe angles of curvature and unfavourable curvature patterns. A worst-case analysis does not prevent this conclusion, even if all dropouts from the non-repeaters group were considered as failures.