Gefeller O, Pfahlberg A, Brenner H, Windeler J
Department of Medical Statistics, University of Göttingen, Germany.
Eur J Epidemiol. 1998 Jun;14(4):321-5. doi: 10.1023/a:1007497104800.
The methodological discussion about matching when recruiting controls in case-control studies has been controversial for a long time. To delineate the impact of this discussion on the practice of matching we reviewed 266 case-control studies published in nine yearly volumes of three major epidemiological journals within the period 1955-1994. Among studies published until 1980 71.7% of the control groups were recruited by individual matching compared to 46.4% in 1994. This decline is paralleled by an increase in the application of frequency matching (from 5.0% to 26.2%). As the issue of matching is closely connected with methodological questions of the statistical analysis we also examined the type of analysis applied to the data. We found that the use of logistic regression modeling has dramatically increased during this period (from 18.4% up to 87.2%), whereas application of the traditional Mantel-Haenszel technique for estimating summary odds ratios has nearly vanished. The correct approach for individually matched data in the logistic modeling framework, the conditional likelihood technique, has been unknown in the early part of the time window of our investigation, but is even nowadays applied by only three quarters of the corresponding studies. Our literature-based investigation provides thus compelling evidence that the type of control selection and statistical analysis used in case-control studies have changed substantially during recent years.
在病例对照研究中,关于招募对照时匹配方法的讨论长期以来一直存在争议。为了阐明这一讨论对匹配实践的影响,我们回顾了1955年至1994年期间在三大流行病学杂志的九个年度卷中发表的266项病例对照研究。在1980年之前发表的研究中,71.7%的对照组是通过个体匹配招募的,而在1994年这一比例为46.4%。这种下降与频率匹配应用的增加(从5.0%增至26.2%)并行。由于匹配问题与统计分析的方法学问题密切相关,我们还检查了应用于数据的分析类型。我们发现,在此期间逻辑回归模型的使用大幅增加(从18.4%增至87.2%),而用于估计汇总比值比的传统Mantel-Haenszel技术的应用几乎消失。在逻辑建模框架中针对个体匹配数据的正确方法,即条件似然技术,在我们调查时间窗口的早期并不为人所知,但即使在如今,相应研究中也只有四分之三应用了该技术。因此,我们基于文献的调查提供了令人信服的证据,表明近年来病例对照研究中使用的对照选择类型和统计分析发生了重大变化。