Godoy Carcía P, Domínguez García A, Salleras Sanmartí L
Departamento de Sanidad y Seguridad Social, Generalidad de Cataluña.
Gac Sanit. 1998 May-Jun;12(3):133-7. doi: 10.1016/s0213-9111(98)76458-1.
To determine the factors associated with outbreak size in Catalonia.
Outbreaks over the period 1990-95 were investigated. A comparison was run between outbreaks of more than 6 cases with respect to outbreaks of 2-6 cases in function of the following variables: median age of cases, transmission setting and year of presentation. Multiple logistic regression was used to asses the independent effect of each variable, with the adjusted odds ratio (ORa) and their 95% confidence interval (CI) being obtained.
In all, 45 outbreaks were studied, with 595 cases of measles 39.5% of outbreaks occurred in the 6-10 age group. Outbreaks of more than 6 cases had a higher likelihood of appearing in a school setting (ORa = 4.3, CI 95% 1.0-17.6); but there were no association with age (ORa = 2.1, CI 95% 0.5-9.2) or occurring prior to 1994 (ORa = 0.9, CI 95% 0.2-3.6).
School setting determines the outbreak size of measles and demands to apply specific preventive strategies.