Richardson P H, Winder B, Briggs K, Tydeman C
Division of Psychiatry and Psychology, United Medical School, Guy's Hospital, London, UK.
Med Educ. 1998 May;32(3):294-7. doi: 10.1046/j.1365-2923.1998.00225.x.
The attributes of 721 medical students admitted to the United Medical and Dental Schools (UMDS) of Guy's and St. Thomas' Hospitals, London, UK between the years 1991 and 1994 were examined to determine the relationship between A-level grade predictions (as completed on each student's UCAS form by their school/college at the time of their application to the school) and subsequent assessments of their academic ability and performance. Predicted A-level grades were found to be significantly, if weakly, correlated with the rating of academic ability made at interview by the UMDS interviewing panel. They were not however, related to the grades obtained by students in the A-level examination itself. Further, while success at pre-clinical examinations was predicted by obtained A-level grades, it showed no relationship with the predicted grades. In contrast, the interview-based rating of the applicant's academic potential was significantly predictive of subsequent A level and, to a lesser extent, pre-clinical examination performance. It is concluded that predicted A-level grades may not offer a valid method of assessing the academic potential of applicants for medical school.
对1991年至1994年间被英国伦敦盖伊和圣托马斯医院联合医学与牙科学院（UMDS）录取的721名医学生的特质进行了研究，以确定A级成绩预测（在每个学生申请该校时，由其学校/学院在UCAS表格上填写）与随后对他们学术能力和表现的评估之间的关系。研究发现，预测的A级成绩与UMDS面试小组在面试时对学术能力的评级之间存在显著关联，尽管这种关联较为微弱。然而，它们与学生在A级考试本身中取得的成绩并无关联。此外，虽然临床前考试的成功可以通过获得的A级成绩来预测，但它与预测成绩并无关系。相比之下，基于面试对申请人学术潜力的评级能够显著预测随后的A级成绩，在较小程度上也能预测临床前考试成绩。研究得出结论，预测的A级成绩可能无法提供一种有效的方法来评估医学院校申请人的学术潜力。
