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法国流感样疾病监测。以1995/1996年疫情为例。

Surveillance of influenza-like illness in France. The example of the 1995/1996 epidemic.

作者信息

Carrat F, Flahault A, Boussard E, Farran N, Dangoumau L, Valleron A J

机构信息

Epidémiologie et Sciences de l'Information, INSERM U444, Institut Saint-Antoine de Recherche sur la Santé, Paris, France.

出版信息

J Epidemiol Community Health. 1998 Apr;52 Suppl 1:32S-38S.

PMID:9764269
Abstract

STUDY OBJECTIVES

To discover if continuous computerised collection of morbidity data through a medical practice based sentinel network can be used to monitor influenza-like illness (ILI) epidemics. To obtain rough estimates of influenza vaccine effectiveness.

DESIGN

Continuous passive surveillance of ILI through a computerised network of voluntary sentinel general practitioners (SGPs) in France (Sentinelle system).

SETTING

Five hundred SGPs practices.

PARTICIPANTS

Since 1984, SGPs updated a database with information on eight communicable diseases including ILI, via videotext terminals. Each ILI case is defined by the association of a sudden fever of 39 degrees C or above, respiratory symptoms, and myalgias. An ILI epidemic is detected when the national weekly incidence rate exceeds a seasonal threshold for two successive weeks.

MAIN RESULTS

An ILI epidemic was reported from November 1995 to January 1996. In total, 13,951 individual cases were reported by SGPs during the epidemic period. The size of the epidemic (number of patients consulting a GP) was estimated to be 2,370,000 subjects. Maps of the epidemic showed that all regions have reported a high level ILI activity. The attack rate was the highest in school age children (13.5/100) and decreased as the age rose. Nearly 6% of the reported ILI cases among adults and elderly were vaccinated. The flu vaccine effectiveness against ILI was estimated to be 66% (95% CI 73%, 92%), ranging between 83% (95% CI 73%, 92%) among the subjects aged 15 to 24 years old to 16% (95% CI -12%, 44%) among the subjects aged 75 years or older.

CONCLUSIONS

The Sentinelle system demonstrated adequate sensitivity and timeliness regarding ILI epidemic. Moreover, results of the monitoring were made available on the internet to increase the dissemination of information. Also, estimates of influenza vaccine effectiveness have been easily obtained. Altogether, they represent key points for the control of crisis situation such as ILI epidemics or pandemics.

摘要

研究目的

探究通过基于医疗实践的哨点网络持续进行计算机化发病数据收集,是否可用于监测流感样疾病(ILI)疫情。获取流感疫苗效力的粗略估计值。

设计

通过法国一个由志愿哨点全科医生(SGPs)组成的计算机化网络对ILI进行持续被动监测(哨兵系统)。

设置

500个SGPs诊所。

参与者

自1984年起,SGPs通过可视数据终端更新一个包含包括ILI在内的8种传染病信息的数据库。每例ILI病例由体温突然升至39摄氏度及以上、呼吸道症状和肌痛共同确定。当全国每周发病率连续两周超过季节性阈值时,即检测到ILI疫情。

主要结果

1995年11月至1996年报告了一次ILI疫情。在疫情期间,SGPs共报告了13951例个体病例。疫情规模(咨询全科医生的患者数量)估计为237万例。疫情地图显示所有地区均报告了高水平的ILI活动。发病率在学龄儿童中最高(13.5/100),并随年龄增长而下降。在报告的成人和老年人ILI病例中,近6%接种了疫苗。流感疫苗对ILI的效力估计为66%(95%置信区间73%,92%),在15至24岁人群中为83%(95%置信区间73%,92%),在75岁及以上人群中为16%(95%置信区间 -12%,44%)。

结论

哨兵系统在ILI疫情方面显示出足够的敏感性和及时性。此外,监测结果在互联网上公布以增加信息传播。同时,流感疫苗效力的估计值也很容易获得。总体而言,它们是控制ILI疫情或大流行等危机情况的关键点。

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