Vacek P M
Department of Medical Biostatistics, University of Vermont College of Medicine, Burlington 05405, USA.
J Occup Environ Med. 1998 Sep;40(9):821-8. doi: 10.1097/00043764-199809000-00012.
Mortality data from 9609 workers at two asbestos mining areas in Quebec were analyzed to assess the effects of the intensity and timing of exposure on lung cancer risk. Summary exposure measures based on differing assumption were computed for lung cancer cases and matched controls and were fitted to the data using conditional logistic regression. A non-linear relationship between intensity and risk fit both mining areas, but risk was greater at one area than the other. At the mine with lower risk, exposure occurring more than 30 years prior to death had little effect, while at the other mine risk did not vary with time since exposure and men starting employment before 1924 were at elevated risk. The results point to differences in dust composition at the two areas and illustrate the difficulties in estimating risk.
对魁北克两个石棉矿区9609名工人的死亡率数据进行了分析,以评估接触强度和时间对肺癌风险的影响。针对肺癌病例和匹配的对照组,计算了基于不同假设的接触汇总指标,并使用条件逻辑回归对数据进行拟合。两个矿区的接触强度与风险之间均呈现非线性关系,但一个矿区的风险高于另一个矿区。在风险较低的矿区,死亡前30多年的接触影响不大,而在另一个矿区,风险并未随接触后的时间变化,1924年前开始工作的男性风险较高。结果表明两个矿区粉尘成分存在差异,并说明了风险评估的困难。