Svirezhev Iu M, Vikhrov N I, Verigo V V
Kosm Biol Aviakosm Med. 1976 Sep-Oct;10(5):30-7.
The paper presents general principles underlying the construction of mathematical systems used to predict the human health status in space flight. It describes methods of prediction based on the concepts of homeostasis and general adaptation syndrome. The paper discusses applications of methods of statistic approximation and expertise estimates to predict changes in different parameters of the Salyut crewmembers. It gives an evaluation of the accuracy with which variations in the heart rate of the Salyut crewmembers were predicted using a linear model and expertise estimates.
本文介绍了用于预测太空飞行中人类健康状况的数学系统构建所依据的一般原则。它描述了基于体内平衡和一般适应综合征概念的预测方法。本文讨论了统计近似方法和专家评估方法在预测礼炮号机组人员不同参数变化中的应用。它评估了使用线性模型和专家评估预测礼炮号机组人员心率变化的准确性。
