Dalgleish T, Neshat-Doost H, Taghavi R, Moradi A, Yule W, Canterbury R, Vostanis P
MRC Cognition and Brain Sciences Unit, Cambridge, UK.
J Child Psychol Psychiatry. 1998 Oct;39(7):1031-5.
Previous research into subjective probability estimates for negative events revealed that depressed children estimated events as equally likely to happen to themselves as to other children. In contrast, both controls and anxious children estimated that negative events were more likely to happen to others than to themselves. The present study followed up this finding by investigating the subjective probability judgements concerning future negative events generated by children and adolescents who have recovered from depression. Subjects generated probability estimates either for themselves or for other children for a range of negative events on a visual analogue scale. The results revealed that both recovered depressed and matched control groups estimated negative events as significantly more likely to happen to others than to themselves. It was also found that the recovered depressed subjects estimated that negative events were less likely overall, compared to the controls. These results are discussed in the context of the adult literature.
先前对负面事件主观概率估计的研究表明，抑郁儿童估计事件发生在自己身上的可能性与发生在其他儿童身上的可能性相同。相比之下，对照组儿童和焦虑儿童都估计负面事件发生在他人身上的可能性大于发生在自己身上的可能性。本研究通过调查从抑郁症中康复的儿童和青少年对未来负面事件的主观概率判断，对这一发现进行了跟进。受试者在视觉模拟量表上对一系列负面事件为自己或其他儿童生成概率估计。结果显示，康复的抑郁组和匹配的对照组都估计负面事件发生在他人身上的可能性明显大于发生在自己身上的可能性。还发现，与对照组相比，康复的抑郁受试者估计负面事件总体发生的可能性较小。这些结果将在成人文献的背景下进行讨论。
