Prognostic significance of proliferative activity, DNA-ploidy, p53 and Ki-ras point mutations in colorectal liver metastases.

Paired colorectal liver metastases (CLM) and normal tissue samples from a consecutive series of 36 patients were studied prospectively. MIB-1 expression was studied by immunohistochemistry on paraffin-embedded sections. DNA ploidy and S-phase fraction (SPF) measurements were performed by flow cytometry on frozen tissues. Mutations within the p53 (exons 5-8) and c-Ki-ras (codons 12 and 13) genes were detected by PCR single-strand conformation polymorphism analysis followed by sequencing. A high correlation was observed between the MIB-1 LI and SPF value (rho=0.81; P<0.01). Moreover, p53 gene mutations were associated with either high MIB-1 LI and high SPF. In univariate analysis, SPF and MIB-1 levels were related to risk of death. The association between overall survival and DNA-ploidy or p53 mutations did not reach statistical significance, but a slightly better survival was observed for patients either with DNA-diploid tumours or without mutations (P=0.05 and P=0.06, respectively). SPF was shown by multivariate Cox model analysis to be an independent prognostic variable and thus it might be a useful prognostic factor in patients with CLM.