Powell L V
Restorative Dentistry, University of Washington, Seattle 98126, USA.
Community Dent Oral Epidemiol. 1998 Dec;26(6):361-71. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0528.1998.tb01974.x.
For over a decade researchers have been looking for the formula that will allow caries prediction. The purpose of this summary is to review recent multifactorial prediction models for adults and children with the aim of identifying the most successful and consistent methods. Conclusions from this review include the following: Clinical variables, especially past caries experience, are confirmed as the most significant predictors of future caries development. The status of the most recently erupted/exposed surface is the most successful measure of past caries experience. Bacterial levels are included in the most accurate prediction models. Sociodemographic variables are most important to caries prediction models for young children and older adults.
十多年来,研究人员一直在寻找能够实现龋齿预测的公式。本综述的目的是回顾近期针对成人和儿童的多因素预测模型,以确定最成功且一致的方法。该综述得出的结论如下:临床变量,尤其是过去的龋齿经历,被确认为未来龋齿发展的最重要预测因素。最近萌出/暴露表面的状况是过去龋齿经历最成功的衡量指标。最准确的预测模型纳入了细菌水平。社会人口统计学变量对幼儿和老年人的龋齿预测模型最为重要。