Walker I R, Julian J A
McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
Haemophilia. 1998 Sep;4(5):714-20. doi: 10.1046/j.1365-2516.1998.00179.x.
The life expectancy of individuals with haemophilia was close to that of the general population in the early 1980s. Since then, life expectancy has decreased, due to transfusion-transmitted virus infections. Deaths in individuals with haemophilia were investigated by analysing 2450 records from the Canadian Hemophilia Registry, for the years 1980-1995. Deaths were tabulated by age, year and cause, and compared with that of the Canadian male population by calculating standardized mortality ratios (SMRs). The median life expectancy at 1 year of age was calculated for various subpopulations and the impact of various population characteristics was assessed by survival regression modelling. There were 359 deaths and the annual number of deaths increased significantly after 1986. Risk factors were seropositivity to human immunodeficiency virus (relative risk 16.7, 95% CI 11.1-25.1), severe haemophilia (1.9, 1.3-2.7) and moderate haemophilia (1.8, 1.2-2.6). In HIV antibody negative individuals, the overall death rate was not increased (SMR 0.9, 95% CI 0.7-1.1) and only haemorrhage was significantly increased. In HIV antibody positive individuals, causes of death which were significantly increased were acquired immunodeficiency syndrome, liver failure, haemorrhage, lymphoma, liver cancer, nonspecific infections, and trauma or violence. Deaths due to the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome accounted for only 66% of the excess deaths in individuals who were HIV antibody positive. Life expectancy has markedly decreased since the onset of the HIV epidemic. The impact of HIV is underestimated by considering only deaths due to the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome; other HIV-linked causes need also to be considered.
20世纪80年代初,血友病患者的预期寿命与普通人群相近。从那时起,由于输血传播病毒感染,预期寿命有所下降。通过分析加拿大血友病登记处1980 - 1995年的2450份记录,对血友病患者的死亡情况进行了调查。按年龄、年份和死因列出死亡人数,并通过计算标准化死亡率(SMR)与加拿大男性人口的死亡率进行比较。计算了不同亚人群1岁时的中位预期寿命,并通过生存回归模型评估了各种人口特征的影响。共有359人死亡,1986年后每年的死亡人数显著增加。危险因素包括人类免疫缺陷病毒血清阳性(相对风险16.7,95%可信区间11.1 - 25.1)、重度血友病(1.9,1.3 - 2.7)和中度血友病(1.8,1.2 - 2.6)。在HIV抗体阴性的个体中,总体死亡率没有增加(SMR 0.9,95%可信区间0.7 - 1.