Johnson-Ifearulundu Y J, Kaneene J B
Population Medicine Center, College of Veterinary Medicine, Michigan State University, East Lansing 48824-1316, USA.
Prev Vet Med. 1998 Dec 1;37(1-4):41-54. doi: 10.1016/s0167-5877(98)00110-x.
A cross-sectional study was conducted from June through December 1996 to identify management-related risk factors for herd-level M. paratuberculosis infection. Data were collected from 121 participating herds. A two-part questionnaire was administered to gather data on current and previous management practices and herd productivity. A random sample of cows aged > or = 24 months was selected from each herd and tested for antibodies to M. paratuberculosis using the IDEXX Antibody ELISA (sensitivity 64%, specificity 96%). A positive herd was one in which > or = 2 animals tested positive for antibodies to M. paratuberculosis. A negative herd was one in which no animal tested positive. Herds in which only one animal tested positive were dropped from statistical analysis to reduce the risk of including false-positive herds in the statistical analyses. There were 80 herds with one or more positive animals and 41 herds with no positive animals in the sample (66% herd-level prevalence). Twenty-six herds (21%) were dropped from further analyses because they had only one positive cow. Twelve herds (10%) were dropped from analysis because of missing data. The resulting sample used for statistical modeling included 46 positive herds and 37 negative herds (55% herd-level prevalence). A multi-variable logistic-regression model was used to evaluate the results. The variable 'use of an exercise lot for lactating cows' was associated with a three-fold increase in odds of a herd being positive for M. paratuberculosis infection (O.R. = 3.01, C.I. = 1.03-8.80); 'cleaning of maternity pens after each use' was associated with a three-fold reduction in odds of a herd being positive for M. paratuberculosis infection (O.R. = 0.28, C.I. = 0.08-0.89); 'application of lime to pasture areas in 1993' resulted in a ten-fold decrease in odds of a herd being positive for M. paratuberculosis infection (O.R. = 0.10, C.I. = 0.02-0.56).
1996年6月至12月进行了一项横断面研究,以确定畜群水平副结核分枝杆菌感染的管理相关风险因素。从121个参与的畜群中收集数据。采用两部分问卷收集当前和以前的管理做法以及畜群生产力的数据。从每个畜群中随机抽取年龄大于或等于24个月的奶牛样本,使用IDEXX抗体酶联免疫吸附测定法(敏感性64%,特异性96%)检测副结核分枝杆菌抗体。阳性畜群是指有大于或等于2只动物副结核分枝杆菌抗体检测呈阳性的畜群。阴性畜群是指没有动物检测呈阳性的畜群。只有一只动物检测呈阳性的畜群被排除在统计分析之外,以降低在统计分析中纳入假阳性畜群的风险。样本中有80个畜群有一只或多只阳性动物,41个畜群没有阳性动物(畜群水平患病率为66%)。26个畜群(21%)因只有一头阳性奶牛而被排除在进一步分析之外。12个畜群(10%)因数据缺失而被排除在分析之外。用于统计建模的最终样本包括46个阳性畜群和37个阴性畜群(畜群水平患病率为55%)。使用多变量逻辑回归模型评估结果。“对泌乳奶牛使用运动场”这一变量与畜群副结核分枝杆菌感染呈阳性的几率增加三倍相关(比值比=3.01,置信区间=1.03-8.80);“每次使用后对产房进行清洁”与畜群副结核分枝杆菌感染呈阳性的几率降低三倍相关(比值比=0.28,置信区间=0.08-0.89);“1993年在牧场区域施用石灰”使畜群副结核分枝杆菌感染呈阳性的几率降低了十倍(比值比=0.10,置信区间=0.02-0.56)。