Zuber P
J Med Assoc Ga. 1999 Feb;88(1):42-6.
In DeKalb County, Georgia, during 1990 to 1996, tuberculosis incidence rates fluctuated between 15.3 cases/100,000 person-years (PY) and 19.2 cases/100,000 PY. These rates are approximately 1.5 to 2 times higher than those measured for the United States as a whole, and do not reflect the decline observed nationally since 1993. We reviewed DeKalb tuberculosis registry to investigate risk factors for tuberculosis and describe trends of tuberculosis incidence over time.
We compared average annual tuberculosis case counts and incidence rates in DeKalb before and after 1993. We calculated rates of tuberculosis incidence using race, age and sex stratified population estimates from the U.S. Bureau of the Census. We compared these rates for the periods 1990-1992 and 1993-1996 using Poisson regressions.
Between both time periods, tuberculosis case counts decreased by 6% among whites, by 2% among blacks, and increased by 34% among Asians. Despite this large increase in case numbers, tuberculosis incidence rates among Asians only increased by 4%. For all three race groups, tuberculosis incidence almost doubled for those younger than 15 years of age.
Trends of tuberculosis incidence in DeKalb County varied between different population groups. Migration from countries with a high prevalence of tuberculosis accounted for a larger number of foreign-born cases in recent years. However, increasing tuberculosis incidence rates found among the youngest age groups suggest that active transmission of Mycobacterium tuberculosis also took place.
1990年至1996年期间,佐治亚州迪卡尔布县的结核病发病率在每10万人年15.3例至19.2例之间波动。这些发病率比美国全国的发病率高出约1.5至2倍,且未反映出自1993年以来全国范围内观察到的下降趋势。我们回顾了迪卡尔布结核病登记处的数据,以调查结核病的危险因素并描述结核病发病率随时间的变化趋势。
我们比较了1993年前后迪卡尔布县的年均结核病病例数和发病率。我们使用美国人口普查局按种族、年龄和性别分层的人口估计数计算结核病发病率。我们使用泊松回归比较了1990 - 1992年和1993 - 1996年这两个时期的发病率。
在这两个时间段内,白人结核病病例数减少了6%,黑人减少了2%,而亚洲人增加了34%。尽管病例数大幅增加,但亚洲人的结核病发病率仅上升了4%。对于所有三个种族群体,15岁以下人群的结核病发病率几乎翻了一番。
迪卡尔布县不同人群的结核病发病率趋势各不相同。近年来,来自结核病高流行国家的移民导致外国出生病例数量增加。然而,最年轻年龄组结核病发病率的上升表明结核分枝杆菌也存在活跃传播。