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复杂性与气候。

Complexity and climate.

作者信息

Rind D

机构信息

NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center, Institute for Space Studies, 2880 Broadway, New York, NY 10025, USA. E-mail:

出版信息

Science. 1999 Apr 2;284(5411):105-7. doi: 10.1126/science.284.5411.105.

DOI:10.1126/science.284.5411.105
PMID:10102804
Abstract

The climate that we experience results from both ordered forcing and chaotic behavior; the result is a system with characteristics of each. In forecasting prospective climate changes for the next century, the focus has been on the ordered system's responses to anthropogenic forcing. The chaotic component may be much harder to predict, but at this point it is not known how important it will be.

摘要

我们所经历的气候是由有序的强迫作用和混沌行为共同导致的;其结果是一个兼具两者特征的系统。在预测下个世纪的未来气候变化时,重点一直放在有序系统对人为强迫作用的响应上。混沌部分可能更难预测,但目前尚不清楚它会有多重要。

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