Mayer D
Calif Hosp. 1992 May-Jun;6(3):8-11.
Predicting the future of hospital design is hardly a consensus forming art. Crystal ball visions of the 21st-century hospital vary from expert to expert. Perhaps that's simply a sign of the diversity of our health care system. Or perhaps it's a problem inherent in reading the future. For example, some hospital architects and facility planners say tomorrow's hospitals will be smaller due to technological advances. Others say those same advances will create larger hospitals brimming with high-tech equipment. Some say hospitals will be part of medical malls; others see them in a campus setting, perhaps accompanied by satellite facilities in the surrounding community. Yet, despite their often diverse views of the future, architects and planners do share common thoughts about hospital architecture in the decades ahead. Without question, they most commonly agree that hospitals will offer a more patient-friendly environment. Achieving that goal could take many forms, but it is expected to include the use of soothing colors, attractive landscaping, natural lighting, wayfinder lobbies and entrances, private rooms, quieter hallways and accommodations for family and friends.
预测医院设计的未来很难说是一门能形成共识的艺术。对于21世纪医院的种种设想，专家们各执一词。或许这仅仅体现了我们医疗体系的多样性。又或许这是预测未来所固有的难题。例如，一些医院建筑师和设施规划师表示，由于技术进步，未来的医院规模将更小。另一些人则称，同样的技术进步将催生配备高科技设备的大型医院。有人说医院将成为医疗广场的一部分；另一些人则设想医院会处于校园环境中，周边社区或许还设有卫星设施。然而，尽管建筑师和规划师对未来的看法往往各不相同，但他们对于未来几十年医院建筑确实有着共同的想法。毫无疑问，他们最普遍认同的是，医院将提供更有利于患者的环境。实现这一目标可以有多种形式，但预计将包括使用舒缓的色彩、美观的景观、自然采光、引导性的大堂和入口、私人病房、更安静的走廊以及为家人和朋友提供的便利设施。
