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快速检测悖论:检测出的病例数减少却导致接受治疗的病例数增加——沙眼衣原体检测的决策分析

The rapid test paradox: when fewer cases detected lead to more cases treated: a decision analysis of tests for Chlamydia trachomatis.

作者信息

Gift T L, Pate M S, Hook E W, Kassler W J

机构信息

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia 30333, USA.

出版信息

Sex Transm Dis. 1999 Apr;26(4):232-40. doi: 10.1097/00007435-199904000-00010.

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Screening tests for detection of Chlamydia trachomatis include those processed in laboratories and those designed to be processed at the point of care. The latter tests can yield results at the time of the initial patient visit, but most available lab-processed tests have greater sensitivity. In settings where a proportion of patients do not return for treatment after positive test results, the less sensitive rapid tests could lead to the treatment of more patients and be more cost-effective.

GOAL OF THIS STUDY

To determine the situations, if any, in which a rapid test might be more cost-effective and treat more infections than lab-based tests.

STUDY DESIGN

A decision analysis framework was used to compare one point-of-care test (the BioStar Chlamydia OIA) with two lab-based tests (cell culture and the polymerase chain reaction [PCR] assay). It was assumed that all women in the model would be screened. Variables included in the analysis were the prevalence, test sensitivity and specificity, the probability of developing pelvic inflammatory disease after treated and untreated chlamydial infections, and the likelihood that patients would wait for rapid test results or return to the facility for treatment.

RESULTS

The rapid test treated more cases of infection than the PCR alone if the return rate was less than 65%. A two-test algorithm of the rapid test followed by a PCR test on those initially testing negative identified and treated the greatest number of chlamydial infections and was the most cost-effective at all prevalences above 9%, but this finding was sensitive to the cost estimate for pelvic inflammatory disease.

CONCLUSION

In settings where patient return for treatment is a problem, point-of-care tests contribute significantly to the detection and treatment of chlamydial infections among women.

摘要

背景与目的

用于检测沙眼衣原体的筛查试验包括在实验室进行的检测以及设计用于即时检测的检测。后者能够在患者初次就诊时得出结果,但大多数现有的实验室检测具有更高的灵敏度。在部分患者检测结果呈阳性后不回来接受治疗的情况下,灵敏度较低的快速检测可能会使更多患者得到治疗,且更具成本效益。

本研究的目标

确定在哪些情况下(如果存在的话),快速检测可能比基于实验室的检测更具成本效益且能治疗更多感染病例。

研究设计

采用决策分析框架,将一种即时检测(BioStar衣原体OIA)与两种基于实验室的检测(细胞培养和聚合酶链反应[PCR]检测)进行比较。假设模型中的所有女性都会接受筛查。分析中纳入的变量包括患病率、检测的灵敏度和特异性、衣原体感染治疗和未治疗后患盆腔炎的概率,以及患者等待快速检测结果或返回医疗机构接受治疗的可能性。

结果

如果回访率低于65%,快速检测比单独的PCR检测能治疗更多感染病例。对于最初检测为阴性的患者,采用先进行快速检测然后进行PCR检测的两步检测算法能够识别和治疗最多的衣原体感染病例,并且在患病率高于9%的所有情况下都是最具成本效益的,但这一结果对盆腔炎的成本估计较为敏感。

结论

在患者回访接受治疗存在问题的情况下,即时检测对女性衣原体感染的检测和治疗有显著贡献。

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