Bingham J, Foggin C M, Wandeler A I, Hill F W
Central Veterinary Laboratory, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Onderstepoort J Vet Res. 1999 Mar;66(1):1-10.
The epidemiology of rabies in dogs in Zimbabwe is described using data from 1950, when rabies was re-introduced after a 37-year absence, to 1996. Dogs constituted 45.7% of all laboratory-confirmed rabies cases and were the species most frequently diagnosed with the disease. Slightly more cases were diagnosed from June to November than in other months. From 1950 to the early 1980s, most dog cases were recorded from commercial farming areas, but since the early 1980s most have been recorded from communal (subsistence farming) areas. This change appears to be due to improved surveillance in communal areas and not to any change in the prevalence of rabies. Dog rabies therefore appears to be maintained mainly in communal area dog populations, particularly the large communal area blocks. Urban rabies was not important except in the city of Mutare. Where dog rabies prevalence was high, the disease was cyclic with periods between peak prevalence ranging from 4-7 years. Dog rabies cases were, on the whole, independent of jackal rabies and rabies in other carnivores. There was a significant negative relationship between the annual number of rabies vaccine doses administered nationally to dogs and the annual number of dog rabies cases lagged by one year, indicating that the past levels of immunisation coverage have had a significant effect on the number of rabies cases. However, dog vaccination coverage has clearly not been adequate to prevent the regular occurrence of rabies in dogs.
利用1950年(狂犬病在绝迹37年后重新出现)至1996年的数据,描述了津巴布韦犬类狂犬病的流行病学情况。犬类占所有实验室确诊狂犬病病例的45.7%,是最常被诊断出患有该病的物种。6月至11月诊断出的病例略多于其他月份。从1950年到20世纪80年代初,大多数犬类病例记录于商业化养殖地区,但自20世纪80年代初以来,大多数病例记录于社区(自给农业)地区。这种变化似乎是由于社区地区监测的改善,而非狂犬病流行率的任何变化。因此,犬类狂犬病似乎主要在社区犬群中流行,尤其是在大型社区区域。除了穆塔雷市,城市狂犬病并不严重。在犬类狂犬病流行率高的地方,该病呈周期性,流行高峰之间的间隔为4至7年。总体而言,犬类狂犬病病例与胡狼狂犬病及其他食肉动物的狂犬病无关。全国每年给犬类接种的狂犬病疫苗剂量与滞后一年的犬类狂犬病病例年度数量之间存在显著的负相关关系,这表明过去的免疫接种覆盖率对狂犬病病例数量有显著影响。然而,犬类疫苗接种覆盖率显然不足以预防犬类狂犬病的定期发生。