Hjalmars U, Gustafsson G
Department of Pediatrics, Ostersunds Hospital, Sweden.
Br J Cancer. 1999 Jan;79(1):30-3. doi: 10.1038/sj.bjc.6690007.
A population-based sample of acute childhood leukaemia cases in Sweden 1973-94 was analysed by a geographical information system (GIS) for spatial leukaemia distribution in relation to population density. The annual incidence rate for acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL) was 3.6, and for acute non-lymphoblastic leukaemia (ANLL) 0.7, cases per 100,000 children. Incidence rates in population centres, constituting 1.3% of Sweden's land area and approximately 80% of the population, compared with the rest of Sweden showed a statistically significant excess of ALL [odds ratio (OR) 1.68; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.44-1.95], but not ANLL (OR 1.13; 95% CI 0.98-1.32). An increasing trend, however not statistically significant, was found for ALL incidence with both increasing population density in parishes and increasing degree of urbanity in municipalities. These findings support the theories that some environmental factors associated with high population density, such as infectious agents, may be of aetiological importance for childhood acute lymphoblastic leukaemia.
利用地理信息系统(GIS)分析了1973 - 1994年瑞典基于人群的急性儿童白血病病例样本,以研究白血病的空间分布与人口密度的关系。急性淋巴细胞白血病(ALL)的年发病率为每10万名儿童中有3.6例,急性非淋巴细胞白血病(ANLL)为每10万名儿童中有0.7例。占瑞典国土面积1.3%且约占人口80%的人口中心的发病率与瑞典其他地区相比,ALL发病率有统计学显著升高[优势比(OR)1.68;95%置信区间(CI)1.44 - 1.95],但ANLL没有(OR 1.13;95% CI 0.98 - 1.32)。然而,随着教区人口密度增加和市镇城市化程度提高,ALL发病率呈上升趋势,但无统计学显著性。这些发现支持了一些理论,即与高人口密度相关的某些环境因素,如传染因子,可能在儿童急性淋巴细胞白血病病因学中具有重要意义。