Crisp J, Pelletier D, Duffield C, Nagy S, Adams A
Faculty of Nursing, Midwifery and Health, University of Technology, Sydney, Australia.
Aust J Adv Nurs. 1999 Mar-May;16(3):32-7.
As nursing researchers we need to fully understand the origins of the methods we are using in research investigations. Without an in-depth understanding, we may find ourselves violating fundamental underpinning assumptions or conventions through ignorance, and the resulting studies are unlikely to stand up to tests of congruence and rigour. This paper is a discussion of some complexities encountered while exploring the literature on the Delphi technique, a research method we had believed to be straightforward. The Delphi method had been used extensively since its development in the 1950s, and its use in nursing research appears to be increasing. Our explorations revealed that, rather than a simple means of obtaining the judgments of experts, modifications and adaptations over the years have dramatically changed 'the' Delphi. Anyone wishing to use the method needs a sound knowledge of complex theoretical issues associated with its implementation.
作为护理研究人员,我们需要充分理解在研究调查中所使用方法的起源。如果没有深入的理解,我们可能会因无知而违反基本的支撑假设或惯例,由此产生的研究不太可能经得起一致性和严谨性的检验。本文讨论了在探索德尔菲技术相关文献时遇到的一些复杂性,我们曾认为这是一种简单直接的研究方法。自20世纪50年代开发以来,德尔菲法已被广泛使用,并且其在护理研究中的应用似乎在增加。我们的探索表明,多年来的修改和调整已使德尔菲法不再是一种简单获取专家判断的方法,而是极大地改变了“传统的”德尔菲法。任何希望使用该方法的人都需要充分了解与其实施相关的复杂理论问题。