Nielsen S P, Bengtson P, Bojanowsky R, Hagel P, Herrmann J, Ilus E, Jakobson E, Motiejunas S, Panteleev Y, Skujina A, Suplinska M
Risø National Laboratory, Nuclear Safety Research Department, Roskilde, Denmark.
Sci Total Environ. 1999 Sep 30;237-238:133-41. doi: 10.1016/s0048-9697(99)00130-8.
A radiological assessment has been carried out considering discharges of radioactivity to the Baltic Sea marine environment since 1950. The sources of radioactivity that have been evaluated are atmospheric nuclear-weapons fallout, fallout from the Chernobyl accident in 1986, discharges of radionuclides from Sellafield and La Hague transported into the Baltic Sea, and discharges of radionuclides from nuclear installations located in the Baltic Sea area. Dose rates from man-made radioactivity to individual members of the public (critical groups) have been calculated based on annual intake of seafood and beach occupancy time. The dose rates to individuals from the regions of the Bothnian Sea and Gulf of Finland are predicted to be larger than from any other area in the Baltic Sea due to the pattern of Chernobyl fallout. The dose rates are predicted to have peaked in 1986 at a value of 0.2 mSv year-1. Collective committed doses to members of the public have been calculated based on fishery statistics and predicted concentrations of radionuclides in biota and coastal sediments. The total collective dose from man-made radioactivity in the Baltic Sea is estimated at 2600 manSv, of which approximately two-thirds originate from Chernobyl fallout, approximately one-quarter from atmospheric nuclear-weapons fallout, approximately 8% from European reprocessing facilities, and approximately 0.04% from nuclear installations bordering the Baltic Sea area. An assessment of small-scale dumping of low-level radioactive waste in the Baltic Sea in the 1960s by Sweden and the Soviet Union has showed that doses to man from these activities are negligible. Dose rates and doses from natural radioactivity dominate except for the year 1986 where dose rates to individuals from Chernobyl fallout in some regions of the Baltic Sea approached those from natural radioactivity.
已对1950年以来向波罗的海海洋环境排放放射性物质的情况进行了放射性评估。已评估的放射性来源包括大气核武器沉降物、1986年切尔诺贝利事故的沉降物、从塞拉菲尔德和拉阿格运入波罗的海的放射性核素排放,以及位于波罗的海地区的核设施的放射性核素排放。基于海产品的年摄入量和海滩占用时间,计算了人造放射性物质对公众个体(关键群体)的剂量率。由于切尔诺贝利沉降物的分布模式,预计波的尼亚湾和芬兰湾地区个人的剂量率将高于波罗的海的任何其他地区。预计剂量率在1986年达到峰值,为0.2毫希沃特/年。已根据渔业统计数据以及生物群和沿海沉积物中放射性核素的预测浓度,计算了公众成员的集体待积剂量。波罗的海人造放射性物质的总集体剂量估计为2600人希沃特,其中约三分之二来自切尔诺贝利沉降物,约四分之一来自大气核武器沉降物,约8%来自欧洲后处理设施,约0.04%来自波罗的海地区周边的核设施。瑞典和苏联在20世纪60年代向波罗的海小规模倾倒低水平放射性废物的评估表明,这些活动对人类的剂量可忽略不计。除1986年外,天然放射性的剂量率和剂量占主导地位,当时波罗的海一些地区切尔诺贝利沉降物对个人的剂量率接近天然放射性的剂量率。