Marottoli R A, Glass T A, Williams C S, Cooney L M, Berkman L F
Clinical Epidemiology Unit, VA Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven 06516, USA.
J Gerontol B Psychol Sci Soc Sci. 2000 Nov;55(6):S334-40. doi: 10.1093/geronb/55.6.s334.
Increasing age, socioeconomic factors, and declining function and health have been linked to driving cessation, but little is known about the consequences of stopping driving. This study was designed to test the hypothesis that driving cessation leads to a decline in out-of-home activity levels.
In 1989 a survey of driving practices was administered to surviving noninstitutionalized members of the New Haven Established Populations for Epidemiologic Studies of the Elderly (EPESE) cohort. Of 1,316 respondents, 502 were active drivers as of 1988, 92 had stopped driving between 1982 and 1987, and 722 never drove or stopped before 1982. Information on sociodemographic and health-related variables came from in-home EPESE interviews in 1982, 1985, and 1988, and from yearly phone interviews. Activity was measured at all three in-home interviews, and an activity measure was created based on self-reported participation in nine out-of-home activities. A repeated measures random-effects model was used to test the effect of driving cessation on activity while controlling for potential confounders.
Driving cessation was strongly associated with decreased out-of-home activity levels (coefficient-1.081, standard error 0.264, p < .001) after adjustment for sociodemographic and health-related factors.
The potential consequences of driving limitations or cessation should be taken into account when advising older drivers and developing alternative transportation strategies to help maintain their mobility.
年龄增长、社会经济因素以及功能和健康状况下降都与停止驾驶有关,但对于停止驾驶的后果却知之甚少。本研究旨在检验以下假设:停止驾驶会导致户外出行活动水平下降。
1989年,对纽黑文老年人群流行病学研究(EPESE)队列中未入住机构的幸存成员进行了一项驾驶习惯调查。在1316名受访者中,截至1988年,有502人是活跃驾驶者,92人在1982年至1987年期间停止了驾驶,722人在1982年之前从未驾驶或已停止驾驶。社会人口统计学和健康相关变量的信息来自1982年、1985年和1988年的EPESE家庭访谈以及年度电话访谈。在所有三次家庭访谈中都对活动进行了测量,并根据自我报告的参与九项户外出行活动情况创建了一个活动指标。使用重复测量随机效应模型来检验停止驾驶对活动的影响,同时控制潜在的混杂因素。
在对社会人口统计学和健康相关因素进行调整后,停止驾驶与户外出行活动水平下降密切相关(系数为 -1.081,标准误为0.264, p <.001)。
在为老年驾驶者提供建议以及制定替代交通策略以帮助维持他们的出行能力时,应考虑驾驶限制或停止驾驶的潜在后果。