Tao Z, Zha Y, Akiba S, Sun Q, Zou J, Li J, Liu Y, Kato H, Sugahara T, Wei L
Laboratory of Industrial Hygiene, Ministry of Health, Beijing 100088, China.
J Radiat Res. 2000 Oct;41 Suppl:31-41. doi: 10.1269/jrr.41.s31.
The objective of the present study was to estimate cancer risk associated with the low-level radiation exposure of an average annual effective dose of 6.4 mSv (including internal exposure) in the high background-radiation areas (HBRA) in Yangjiang, China. The mortality survey consisted of two steps, i.e., the follow-up of cohort members and the ascertainment of causes of death. The cohort members in HBRA were divided into three dose-groups on the basis of environmental dose-rates per year. The mortality experiences of those three dose groups were compared with those in the residents of control areas by means of relative risk (RR). During the period 1987-1995, we observed 926,226 person-years by following up 106,517 subjects in the cohort study, and accumulated 5,161 deaths, among which 557 were from cancers. We did not observe an increase in cancer mortality in HBRA (RR = 0.96, 96% CI, 0.80 to 1.15). The combined data for the period 1979-95 included 125,079 subjects and accumulated 1,698,316 person-years, observed 10,415 total deaths and 1,003 cancer deaths. The relative risk of all cancers for whole HBRA as compared with the control area was estimated to be 0.99 (95% CI, 0.87 to 1.14). The relative risks of cancers of the stomach, colon, liver, lung, bone, female breast and thyroid within whole HBRA were less than one, while the risks for leukemia, cancers of the nasopharynx, esophagus, rectum, pancreas, skin, cervix uteri, brain and central nervous system, and malignant lymphoma were larger than one. None of them were significantly different from RR = 1. Neither homogeneity tests nor trend tests revealed any statistically significant relationship between cancer risk and radiation dose. We did not find any increased cancer risk associated with the high levels of natural radiation in HBRA. On the contrary, the mortality of all cancers in HBRA was generally lower than that in the control area, but not statistically significant.
本研究的目的是评估中国阳江高本底辐射地区(HBRA)平均年有效剂量为6.4毫希沃特(包括内照射)的低水平辐射暴露所带来的癌症风险。死亡率调查包括两个步骤,即队列成员的随访和死因确定。根据每年的环境剂量率,将HBRA的队列成员分为三个剂量组。通过相对风险(RR)将这三个剂量组的死亡率与对照地区居民的死亡率进行比较。在1987 - 1995年期间,我们在队列研究中对106,517名受试者进行随访,观察了926,226人年,累积死亡5,161例,其中557例死于癌症。我们未观察到HBRA地区癌症死亡率增加(RR = 0.96,96%可信区间,0.80至1.15)。1979 - 1995年期间的合并数据包括125,079名受试者,累积观察1,698,316人年,共观察到10,415例总死亡和1,003例癌症死亡。与对照地区相比,整个HBRA地区所有癌症的相对风险估计为0.99(95%可信区间,0.87至1.14)。整个HBRA地区胃癌、结肠癌、肝癌、肺癌、骨癌、女性乳腺癌和甲状腺癌的相对风险小于1,而白血病、鼻咽癌、食管癌、直肠癌、胰腺癌、皮肤癌、子宫颈癌、脑和中枢神经系统癌以及恶性淋巴瘤的风险大于1。它们与RR = 1均无显著差异。齐性检验和趋势检验均未揭示癌症风险与辐射剂量之间存在任何统计学上的显著关系。我们未发现与HBRA地区高水平天然辐射相关的癌症风险增加。相反,HBRA地区所有癌症的死亡率总体上低于对照地区,但无统计学意义。