Thomson M C, Connor S J
MALSAT Research Group, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Pembroke place, L35QA, Liverpool, UK.
Trends Parasitol. 2001 Sep;17(9):438-45. doi: 10.1016/s1471-4922(01)02077-3.
Current efforts to predict malaria epidemics focus on the role weather anomalies can play in epidemic prediction. Alongside weather monitoring and seasonal climate forecasts, epidemiological, social and environmental factors can also play a role in predicting the timing and severity of malaria epidemics. Such factors can be incorporated into a framework for malaria early warning.
当前预测疟疾流行的工作重点在于天气异常在流行预测中可能发挥的作用。除了天气监测和季节性气候预测外,流行病学、社会和环境因素在预测疟疾流行的时间和严重程度方面也能发挥作用。这些因素可纳入疟疾早期预警框架。