Hammond R F, McGrath G, Martin S W
Tuberculosis Investigation Unit, University College Dublin, Ballsbridge, Ireland.
Prev Vet Med. 2001 Oct 11;51(3-4):137-48. doi: 10.1016/s0167-5877(01)00230-6.
This study investigated possible associations between soil types, land use and badger numbers in an area of the Irish Midlands where badger removal had been conducted during 1989-1994. For this purpose, the area was divided into approximately 2500 geo-referenced square grids of 0.5 degrees km per side. For the outcomes (setts per grid, badgers per grid and tuberculous badgers per grid), Poisson models of land use, of soil type, and a combination of these two were developed. Influential grids were removed and the models adjusted for over-dispersion in the badger outcomes. Mineral-based soils, dry and very-dry peat soils supported increased numbers of setts and badgers. High-quality pasture was the major land use (pastures often are found on mineral-based soils) and supported increased numbers of setts, badgers, and tuberculous badgers. "Natural" areas also supported more setts and broad-leaf forested areas were associated with increased tuberculous badger numbers. Discontinuous urban areas tended to decrease sett numbers per grid. Hedgerow length was not an important predictor given the information on soil type and land use. Spatial correlations existed for badger setts in 1 degrees km grids, for badger numbers in 1.5 degrees km grids, and for tuberculous badgers in 2 degrees km grids. The latter two grids have approximately the same area as the territory size used by a social group of badgers. There were no spatial correlations at the smallest (0.5 km) grid size.
本研究调查了爱尔兰中部某地区土壤类型、土地利用与獾数量之间可能存在的关联,该地区在1989 - 1994年期间开展了獾捕杀行动。为此,该区域被划分为约2500个地理参考方格网,每个方格边长为0.5度千米。针对各项结果(每个方格网的洞穴数量、獾的数量以及患结核病獾的数量),分别建立了土地利用、土壤类型以及二者组合的泊松模型。去除有影响的方格网,并针对獾数量结果中的过度离散现象对模型进行调整。基于矿物质的土壤、干燥和极干燥的泥炭土上洞穴和獾的数量增多。优质牧场是主要的土地利用类型(牧场通常位于基于矿物质的土壤上),且洞穴、獾以及患结核病獾的数量增多。“自然”区域洞穴数量也较多,阔叶林区域与患结核病獾数量的增加有关。不连续的城市区域往往会减少每个方格网的洞穴数量。鉴于土壤类型和土地利用的信息,树篱长度并非重要的预测因素。在边长为1度千米的方格网中,獾洞穴存在空间相关性;在边长为1.5度千米的方格网中,獾的数量存在空间相关性;在边长为2度千米的方格网中,患结核病獾的数量存在空间相关性。后两个方格网的面积与一群獾所使用的领地面积大致相同。在最小(0.5千米)方格网尺度上不存在空间相关性。