Petrovich B, Tiodorovich B, Kocich B, Cvetkovich M, Blagojevich L
Institute for Health Protection, Nis, Serbia, Yugoslavia.
Eur J Epidemiol. 2001;17(2):183-7. doi: 10.1023/a:1017909904769.
It is well known that gross social crises greatly influence the change in epidemiological features of suicide. The aim of this study is to determine whether the social-economic crisis in Yugoslavia influenced the change in epidemiological features of suicide in the region of Nis (southeastern Serbia). The material included death certificates for 1987-1999. The rates were calculated per 100,000 inhabitants (1991 Census) and standardization was performed by direct method (Segi's world population was used as standard population). Generally, trends for suicide rates in the region of Nis from 1987 to 1999 have decreasing tendency among both sexes. The average annual suicide rate in the region during the period 1987/1989 (relatively economically and politically stable) was 14.8 among males, and 6.8 among females. In 1999 (maximum influence of socio-economical and political crisis) suicide rate among males was 13.8 and among females it was 3.7. The decrease in suicide rate in females can be observed in all age groups, and in males in the age groups 15-29 and 50-64. During 1999, compared to 1987/1989, the increase in the number of suicides is perceived in the summer months (1999 -41.5%; 95% CI: 30.8-52.2%; 1987/ 1989 -23.8%; 95% CI: 18.9-28.7%), as well as the decrease of suicide on Monday (1987/1989 -21.2%; 95% CI: 16.2-26.1%; 1999 -9.8%; 95% CI: 3.4 16.2%). During 1999 the rate of suicides committed by fire arms increased (from 8.1 to 14.5%), while there was a decrease in poisoning, in both males (from 26.3 to 9.7%; p < 0.05) and females (from 39.1 to 10.0%; p < 0.05). During 1999 significant changes in epidemiological features of suicide were registered, compared to 1987/1989. These changes were probably enhanced by changed socio-economic factors (primarily war action and the bombing of Serbia, as well as the decline of standard of living and other aspects of economic and political crisis), which requires additional, more complete and thorough research.
众所周知,重大社会危机对自杀的流行病学特征变化有很大影响。本研究的目的是确定南斯拉夫的社会经济危机是否影响了尼什地区(塞尔维亚东南部)自杀的流行病学特征变化。材料包括1987 - 1999年的死亡证明。发病率按每10万居民计算(1991年人口普查数据),并采用直接法进行标准化(以塞吉世界人口作为标准人口)。总体而言,1987年至1999年期间,尼什地区男女自杀率均呈下降趋势。1987/1989年期间(相对经济和政治稳定),该地区男性年均自杀率为14.8,女性为6.8。1999年(社会经济和政治危机影响最大),男性自杀率为13.8,女性为3.7。女性各年龄组自杀率均有下降,男性15 - 29岁和50 - 64岁年龄组自杀率下降。1999年与1987/1989年相比,夏季自杀人数增加(1999年 - 41.5%;95%可信区间:30.8 - 52.2%;1987/1989年 - 23.8%;95%可信区间:18.9 - 28.7%),周一自杀人数减少(1987/1989年 - 21.2%;95%可信区间:16.2 - 26.1%;1999年 - 9.8%;95%可信区间:3.4 - 16.2%)。1999年,使用火器自杀的比例上升(从8.1%升至14.5%),而中毒自杀比例下降,男性(从26.3%降至9.7%;p < 0.05)和女性(从39.1%降至10.0%;p < 0.05)均如此。与1987/1989年相比,1999年自杀的流行病学特征发生了显著变化。这些变化可能因社会经济因素的改变(主要是战争行动、塞尔维亚遭受轰炸,以及生活水平下降和经济政治危机的其他方面)而加剧,这需要进行更多、更全面和深入的研究。