Feng W, Lee J, Campbell C
University of Hawaii and East-West Center, USA.
Popul Stud (Camb). 1995 Nov;49(3):383-400. doi: 10.1080/0032472031000148736.
Demographers, as early as Malthus, have assumed that the preventive checks, delayed marriage and celibacy, were absent in traditional China. In this paper on the Qing (1644-1911) imperial lineage, we demonstrate that, instead, there may have been a different, more 'modern' preventive check: fertility control within marriage. Marital fertility of lineage couples during the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries was low to moderate. Such low fertility was the product of three behavioural mechanisms: late starting, early stopping and, most significantly, long spacing. Couples apparently regulated their fertility according to their economic resources and the sex of their surviving children. Moreover, they did so, we suggest, by regulating their coital frequency. Deliberate fertility control, in other words, was already within the 'calculus of conscious choice' for some Chinese well before this century. the speed of contemporary sinitic fertility transitions may accordingly be attributed to the fact that they did not require a change in attitudes, only the diffusion of new incentives and effective technologies.
早在马尔萨斯时代,人口统计学家就认为,传统中国不存在预防性抑制措施,即晚婚和独身。在这篇关于清代(1644 - 1911年)皇室家族的论文中,我们证明,相反,可能存在一种不同的、更“现代”的预防性抑制措施:婚内生育控制。18世纪和19世纪皇室夫妇的婚内生育率处于低到中等水平。这种低生育率是三种行为机制的产物:生育开始晚、生育结束早,以及最显著的,生育间隔长。夫妇们显然根据自身经济资源和存活子女的性别来调节生育。此外,我们认为,他们通过调节性交频率来做到这一点。换句话说,早在本世纪之前,有意识的生育控制就已经在一些中国人的“有意识选择的计算”之中了。当代中国生育率转变的速度因此可能归因于这样一个事实,即它们不需要态度上的改变,只需要新激励措施和有效技术的传播。