Carli P, De Giorgi V, Nardini P, Mannone F, Palli D, Giannotti B
Department of Dermatology, University of Florence, Via degli Alfani, 37, 50121 Firenze, Italy.
Br J Dermatol. 2002 Feb;146(2):261-6. doi: 10.1046/j.1365-2133.2002.04580.x.
The early diagnosis of melanoma is based on the collaboration between dermatologists and family doctors, who filter subjects to be referred to a pigmented lesion clinic (PLC). Following growing media coverage, there is increasing concern in the general population about the risk of the 'changing mole', resulting in a progressively increased workload in PLCs.
We investigated the causes of referral to a PLC in a series of 193 attendees seen consecutively at the PLC of the University of Florence. Because the number of naevi is the major risk factor for melanoma in Mediterranean populations, the concordance between self-counting of naevi and the clinical evaluation of a PLC dermatologist in order to classify high-risk individuals was also investigated.
Detection of a clinically suspicious lesion at dermatological examination occurred in 13 of 193 subjects referred by general practitioners (6.7%), with three melanomas confirmed histologically (overall detection rate: three of 193, 1.6%). The positive predictive value of the 'presence of a suspicious lesion', the cause of referral in 39.9% of subjects, was 9.1% when based on the gold standard criterion represented by the clinical detection of a suspicious lesion by the dermatologist and 3.8% based on the histological diagnosis of melanoma; the negative predictive value was 94.8% (100% when based on the histological diagnosis of melanoma), suggesting that the clinical detection of a suspicious lesion in subjects with different causes of referral (such as risk factors for melanoma, or the need to be reassured about moles) is unlikely. There was poor agreement between self-evaluation based on the presence of multiple naevi and the dermatological examination (gold standard) for both common and atypical naevi. The highest concordance (kappa = 0.32, 95% confidence interval 0.20-0.43) was associated with a dichotomized count of naevi as up to 50 or more than 50 naevi.
In order to reduce the PLC workload, the filtering role of the family doctor needs to be improved, so that only subjects with a specific suspicious lesion are referred to the PLC. The self-assessment of melanoma risk based on the presence of multiple naevi was not reliable.
黑色素瘤的早期诊断基于皮肤科医生和家庭医生的协作,他们对转诊至色素沉着病变诊所(PLC)的患者进行筛选。随着媒体报道的增加,普通民众对“痣变化”风险的担忧日益增加,导致PLC的工作量逐渐增大。
我们调查了在佛罗伦萨大学PLC连续就诊的193名患者转诊至该诊所的原因。由于痣的数量是地中海人群黑色素瘤的主要危险因素,我们还研究了自我计数的痣数量与PLC皮肤科医生的临床评估之间的一致性,以便对高危个体进行分类。
在全科医生转诊的193名患者中,有13名(6.7%)在皮肤科检查时发现临床上可疑病变,其中3例经组织学确诊为黑色素瘤(总体检出率:193例中有3例,1.6%)。“存在可疑病变”作为39.9%患者的转诊原因,其阳性预测值在以皮肤科医生临床检测可疑病变为金标准时为9.1%,基于黑色素瘤组织学诊断时为3.8%;阴性预测值为94.8%(基于黑色素瘤组织学诊断时为100%),这表明在有不同转诊原因的患者中(如黑色素瘤危险因素,或需要对痣放心)临床检测到可疑病变的可能性不大。对于常见痣和非典型痣,基于多个痣的存在进行的自我评估与皮肤科检查(金标准)之间的一致性较差。最高一致性(kappa = 0.32,95%置信区间0.20 - 0.43)与将痣分为50个及以下或50个以上的二分计数相关。
为了减轻PLC的工作量,需要改善家庭医生的筛选作用,并仅将有特定可疑病变的患者转诊至PLC。基于多个痣的存在对黑色素瘤风险进行自我评估并不可靠。