Shadish William R
Department of Psychology, The University of Memphis, Tennessee 38152, USA.
Psychol Methods. 2002 Mar;7(1):3-18. doi: 10.1037/1082-989x.7.1.3.
Field experiments in the social sciences were increasingly used in the 20th century. This article briefly reviews some important lessons in design, analysis, and theory of field experiments emerging from that experience. Topics include the importance of ensuring that selection into experiments and assignment to conditions occurs properly, how to prevent and analyze attrition, the need to attend to power and effect size, how to measure and take partial treatment implementation into account in analyses, modern analyses of quasi-experimental and multilevel data, Rubin's model, and the role of internal and external validity. The article ends with observations on the computer revolution in methodology and statistics, convergences in theory and methods across disciplines, the need for an empirical program of methodological research, the key problem of selection bias, and the inevitability of increased specialization in field experimentation in the years to come.
社会科学领域的实验在20世纪得到了越来越广泛的应用。本文简要回顾了从这段经历中得出的关于实地实验设计、分析和理论的一些重要经验教训。主题包括确保正确选择参与实验的对象并将其分配到相应条件的重要性、如何预防和分析损耗、关注功效和效应大小的必要性、如何在分析中测量并考虑部分治疗实施情况、准实验和多水平数据的现代分析、鲁宾模型,以及内部效度和外部效度的作用。文章最后对方法论和统计学领域的计算机革命、各学科理论与方法的趋同、开展实证方法论研究项目的必要性、选择偏差这一关键问题,以及未来几年实地实验专业化程度提高的必然性进行了观察。