Trewavas Antony
Institute of Cell and Molecular Biology, University of Edinburgh, UK.
Nature. 2002 Aug 8;418(6898):668-70. doi: 10.1038/nature01013.
Throughout history, increasing population has driven the need to increase agricultural efficiency, so averting successive 'malthusian' disasters. In the twentieth century, the application of scientific knowledge to agriculture yielded tremendous dividends, enabling cereal yields to increase threefold since 1950. But with the world's population projected to reach nine billion by the middle of this century, new ways must be found to increase yields while preserving natural habitats and biodiversity.
纵观历史,人口增长促使人们提高农业效率,从而避免了接踵而至的“马尔萨斯”灾难。在20世纪,科学知识应用于农业带来了巨大收益,使谷物产量自1950年以来增长了两倍。但预计到本世纪中叶世界人口将达到90亿,因此必须找到新的方法来提高产量,同时保护自然栖息地和生物多样性。