Pukkala Eero, Aspholm Rafael, Auvinen Anssi, Eliasch Harald, Gundestrup Maryanne, Haldorsen Tor, Hammar Niklas, Hrafnkelsson Jón, Kyyrönen Pentti, Linnersjö Anette, Rafnsson Vilhjálmur, Storm Hans, Tveten Ulf
Finnish Cancer Registry, Institute for Statistical and Epidemiological Cancer Research, Liisankatu 21 B, FIN-00170 Helsinki, Finland.
BMJ. 2002 Sep 14;325(7364):567. doi: 10.1136/bmj.325.7364.567.
To assess the incidence of cancer among male airline pilots in the Nordic countries, with special reference to risk related to cosmic radiation.
Retrospective cohort study, with follow up of cancer incidence through the national cancer registries.
Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden.
10 032 male airline pilots, with an average follow up of 17 years.
Standardised incidence ratios, with expected numbers based on national cancer incidence rates; dose-response analysis using Poisson regression.
466 cases of cancer were diagnosed compared with 456 expected. The only significantly increased standardised incidence ratios were for skin cancer: melanoma 2.3 (95% confidence interval 1.7 to 3.0), non-melanoma 2.1 (1.7 to 2.8), basal cell carcinoma 2.5 (1.9 to 3.2). The relative risk of skin cancers increased with the estimated radiation dose. The relative risk of prostate cancer increased with increasing number of flight hours in long distance aircraft.
This study does not indicate a marked increase in cancer risk attributable to cosmic radiation, although some influence of cosmic radiation on skin cancer cannot be entirely excluded. The suggestion of an association between number of long distance flights (possibly related to circadian hormonal disturbances) and prostate cancer needs to be confirmed.
评估北欧国家男性航空公司飞行员的癌症发病率,特别关注与宇宙辐射相关的风险。
回顾性队列研究,通过国家癌症登记处随访癌症发病率。
丹麦、芬兰、冰岛、挪威和瑞典。
10032名男性航空公司飞行员,平均随访17年。
标准化发病率,预期病例数基于国家癌症发病率;使用泊松回归进行剂量反应分析。
共诊断出466例癌症病例,预期为456例。唯一标准化发病率显著升高的是皮肤癌:黑色素瘤为2.3(95%置信区间1.7至3.0),非黑色素瘤为2.1(1.7至2.8),基底细胞癌为2.5(1.9至3.2)。皮肤癌的相对风险随估计辐射剂量增加而升高。前列腺癌的相对风险随长途飞行飞行小时数增加而升高。
本研究未表明宇宙辐射导致癌症风险显著增加,尽管不能完全排除宇宙辐射对皮肤癌的某些影响。长途飞行次数(可能与昼夜激素紊乱有关)与前列腺癌之间存在关联这一推测有待证实。