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过去三个世纪北太平洋地区的气候变化。

Climate change in the North Pacific region over the past three centuries.

作者信息

Moore G W K, Holdsworth Gerald, Alverson Keith

机构信息

Department of Physics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario M5S 1A7, Canada.

出版信息

Nature. 2002 Nov 28;420(6914):401-3. doi: 10.1038/nature01229.

Abstract

The relatively short length of most instrumental climate records restricts the study of climate variability, and it is therefore essential to extend the record into the past with the help of proxy data. Only since the late 1940s have atmospheric data been available that are sufficient in quality and spatial resolution to identify the dominant patterns of climate variability, such as the Pacific North America pattern and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Here we present a 301-year snow accumulation record from an ice core at a height of 5,340 m above sea level-from Mount Logan, in northwestern North America. This record shows features that are closely linked with the Pacific North America pattern for the period of instrumental data availability. Our record extends back in time to cover the period from the closing stages of the Little Ice Age to the warmest decade in the past millennium. We find a positive, accelerating trend in snow accumulation after the middle of the nineteenth century. This trend is paralleled by a warming over northwestern North America which has been associated with secular changes in both the Pacific North America pattern and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation.

摘要

大多数仪器观测的气候记录时间相对较短,这限制了对气候变率的研究,因此借助代用资料将记录延伸到过去至关重要。直到20世纪40年代后期,才获得了质量和空间分辨率足以识别气候变率主要模式(如太平洋北美模式和太平洋年代际振荡)的大气数据。在此,我们展示了一份来自北美西北部海拔5340米的洛根山冰芯的301年积雪记录。该记录显示出在仪器观测数据可获取期间与太平洋北美模式密切相关的特征。我们的记录可追溯到小冰期末期至过去千年中最温暖的十年。我们发现19世纪中叶之后积雪呈正的加速趋势。北美西北部的变暖与这一趋势平行,而这种变暖与太平洋北美模式和太平洋年代际振荡的长期变化都有关联。

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