Stephens David W
Ecology, Evolution and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St Paul, MN 55108, USA.
Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2002 Nov 29;357(1427):1527-37. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2002.1062.
Feeding animals often prefer small, quickly delivered rewards over larger, more delayed rewards. Students of feeding behaviour typically explain this behaviour by saying that animals discount delayed benefits. Temporal discounting implies that delayed benefits are worth less than immediate benefits. This paper presents a new explanation of short-sighted decision-making called the discrimination advantage model that does not rely on discounting. A new model that includes several possible causes of discounting is developed. This model has many interesting features, but it cannot account for two empirical results: the strength of the 'discounting' effect and the fact that the time between choice presentations (the intertrial interval or ITI) has no effect. This leads to the conclusion that although discounting may be important it is probably not a complete explanation of the experimental facts. In the discrimination advantage model the observation that the ITI does not affect choice is seen as a strategy to make a cleaner discrimination between delayed alternatives in a noisy world. A simple example shows that when discrimination is imperfect a short-sighted choice rule can, in some situations, lead to a higher long-term rate than a rule that actually compares long-term rates. This idea is developed and extended in several ways.
觅食的动物通常更喜欢小的、能快速得到的奖励,而非大的、延迟得到的奖励。研究觅食行为的学者通常通过说动物会对延迟的收益打折扣来解释这种行为。时间折扣意味着延迟的收益比即时的收益价值更低。本文提出了一种对目光短浅的决策制定的新解释,称为辨别优势模型,该模型并不依赖于折扣。一个包含几种可能导致折扣的原因的新模型被开发出来。这个模型有许多有趣的特征,但它无法解释两个实证结果:“折扣”效应的强度以及选择呈现之间的时间间隔(试次间隔或ITI)没有影响这一事实。这导致得出这样的结论:尽管折扣可能很重要,但它可能并非对实验事实的完整解释。在辨别优势模型中,ITI不影响选择这一观察结果被视为在一个嘈杂的世界中对延迟选项进行更清晰辨别的一种策略。一个简单的例子表明,当辨别不完美时,在某些情况下,一个目光短浅的选择规则可能会比一个实际比较长期比率的规则导致更高的长期比率。这个想法以多种方式得到了发展和扩展。