德尔菲技术:神话与现实。

The Delphi technique: myths and realities.

作者信息

Powell Catherine

机构信息

Lecturer in Child Health Nursing, School of Nursing and Midwifery, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.

出版信息

J Adv Nurs. 2003 Feb;41(4):376-82. doi: 10.1046/j.1365-2648.2003.02537.x.

Abstract

AIMS

To outline the key concepts and principles of the Delphi technique.

METHODS

Reference is made to a selection of studies that illustrate a variety of methodological interpretations. Drawing on Heshusius's concept of 'goodness criteria', particular emphasis is given to the question of scientific merit and means of evaluation.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the technique should be used with caution, it appears to be an established method of harnessing the opinions of an often diverse group of experts on practice-related problems.

摘要

目的

概述德尔菲技术的关键概念和原则。

方法

参考了一系列研究,这些研究说明了各种方法学解释。借鉴赫舒修斯的“良好标准”概念,特别强调科学价值问题和评估方法。

结论

尽管该技术应谨慎使用,但它似乎是一种既定的方法,可用于收集不同领域专家对实践相关问题的意见。

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