Specialisation and breast cancer survival in the screening era.

It is recommended that specialist surgeons treat all breast cancer, although the limited evidence to support this is based on treatment patterns prior to the introduction of screening. Whether a specialist survival advantage exists in the post-screening era is uncertain, as referral and treatment patterns may have changed, in addition to the effect of screening on the natural history of breast cancer. Our aim was to determine the impact of screening on the caseload and case-mix of specialist surgeons, to determine if the survival advantage associated with specialist care is maintained with longer follow-up and persists after the introduction of screening. Using the West of Scotland Cancer Registry, all 7197 women treated for breast cancer in a 15-year time period (1980-1994) in a geographically defined cohort were followed up for an average of 9 years, and pathological stage and socioeconomic status were linked with mortality data. We show that the caseload of specialists has increased substantially (from 11 to 59% of the total workload) and that smaller cancers have been selectively referred. However, even after allowing for pathological stage, socioeconomic status and method of detection, specialist treatment was associated with a significantly lower risk of dying (prescreening: relative risk of dying=0.83, 95% CI=0.75-0.92; post-screening: relative risk of dying=0.89, 95% CI=0.78-1.00). We conclude that this survival benefit is most consistent with effective surgical management rather than selective referral, the influx of screen-detected cancers or adjuvant therapies.