Sazawal S, Black R E
Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins School of Hygiene and Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland 21205.
Lancet. 1992 Aug 29;340(8818):528-33. doi: 10.1016/0140-6736(92)91720-s.
To appraise the effectiveness of the pneumonia case-management strategy in improving child survival, we have done a meta-analysis of six published intervention trials. The results of a seventh published study and two unpublished studies were also reviewed. The six published studies satisfied our criteria for methodological soundness. The reduction in mortality rate (control group minus intervention group) was estimated for each study, and for all the studies together. For total infant mortality, the overall reduction was 15.9 (95% confidence interval 10.6-21.1) deaths per 1000 livebirths; infant mortality due to acute lower respiratory infection was reduced by 10.7 (4.8-16.7) deaths/1000 livebirths. Mortality among children under 5 years was decreased by 36 deaths/1000 livebirths. The pooled estimates of relative risk are consistent with a 20% reduction in infant mortality and a 25% reduction in under-5 mortality. There was no clear association across the studies between the effect of the pneumonia case-management and extent of co-interventions such as immunisation and oral rehydration therapy. The consistency of findings of all the studies, despite differences in design and methods, shows that the case-management strategy has a substantial effect on infant and under-5 mortality, at least in settings with infant mortality rates of 90/1000 livebirths or more. It is important to find out the most efficient ways of implementing this strategy and integrating it into primary health care.
为评估肺炎病例管理策略在提高儿童存活率方面的效果,我们对六项已发表的干预试验进行了荟萃分析。还对第七项已发表研究和两项未发表研究的结果进行了审查。六项已发表研究符合我们方法学合理性的标准。对每项研究以及所有研究整体估算了死亡率降低情况(对照组减去干预组)。对于总婴儿死亡率,总体降低幅度为每1000例活产15.9例死亡(95%置信区间10.6 - 21.1);因急性下呼吸道感染导致的婴儿死亡率降低了每1000例活产10.7例死亡(4.8 - 16.7)。5岁以下儿童死亡率降低了每1000例活产36例死亡。相对风险的合并估计值与婴儿死亡率降低20%以及5岁以下儿童死亡率降低25%一致。在各项研究中,肺炎病例管理的效果与免疫接种和口服补液疗法等联合干预措施的程度之间没有明显关联。尽管设计和方法存在差异,但所有研究结果的一致性表明,病例管理策略对婴儿和5岁以下儿童死亡率有显著影响,至少在婴儿死亡率为每1000例活产90例或更高的环境中如此。找出实施该策略并将其纳入初级卫生保健的最有效方法很重要。