Simkin Sue, Hawton Keith, Yip Paul S F, Yam Carrie H K
Centre for Suicide Research, University of Oxford Department of Psychiatry, Warneford Hospital, Headington, Oxford, UK.
Crisis. 2003;24(3):93-7. doi: 10.1027//0227-5910.24.3.93.
Seasonality in suicide rates has long been reported. Spring peaks in suicide deaths have been positively correlated with the proportion of the workforce engaged in agriculture. Some studies have indicated that suicides using violent methods are more likely to show seasonality. Recent research has suggested that seasonal patterns have diminished. This study examined deaths in male farmers, an occupational group which might be expected to be more vulnerable to seasonal influences because of the nature of their work and the relatively high proportion of farmers using violent methods for suicide. Data on suicides between 1982 and 1999 by males in England and Wales aged 15 years and over were provided by the Office for National Statistics. Seasonal patterns of suicide in farmers and nonfarmers were examined by nonparametric tests and harmonic analysis. No significant seasonal variation was found for farmers. For nonfarmers, although a chi-square test showed significant variation in monthly distribution, this was not found when a harmonic analysis was applied. There was no significant difference in the variation of violent suicides throughout the year. This study reinforces recent findings that seasonal variation in suicide appears to be diminishing, even in an occupational group where this might be expected.
长期以来,人们一直报道自杀率存在季节性变化。春季自杀死亡人数的峰值与从事农业的劳动力比例呈正相关。一些研究表明,使用暴力手段自杀的情况更有可能呈现季节性。最近的研究表明,季节性模式已经减弱。本研究调查了男性农民的死亡情况,这一职业群体因其工作性质以及使用暴力手段自杀的农民比例相对较高,可能更容易受到季节性影响。英国国家统计局提供了1982年至1999年英格兰和威尔士15岁及以上男性的自杀数据。通过非参数检验和调和分析研究了农民和非农民自杀的季节性模式。未发现农民自杀存在显著的季节性变化。对于非农民,尽管卡方检验显示月度分布存在显著差异,但在应用调和分析时未发现这一情况。全年暴力自杀的变化没有显著差异。本研究强化了最近的研究结果,即自杀的季节性变化似乎正在减弱,即使在可能预期会出现这种情况的职业群体中也是如此。