Department of Psychiatry, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD 21201, USA.
J Affect Disord. 2010 Feb;121(1-2):88-93. doi: 10.1016/j.jad.2009.05.015. Epub 2009 Jun 16.
Seasonal spring peaks of suicide are highly replicated, but their origin is poorly understood. As the peak of suicide in spring could be a consequence of decompensation of mood disorders in spring, we hypothesized that prior history of mood disorders is predictively associated with suicide in spring.
We analyzed the monthly rates of suicide based upon all 37,987 suicide cases in the Danish Cause of Death Registry from 1970 to 2001. History of mood disorder was obtained from the Danish Psychiatric Central Register and socioeconomical data from the Integrated Database for Labour Market Research. The monthly rate ratio of suicide relative to December was estimated using a Poisson regression. Seasonality of suicide between individuals with versus without hospitalization for mood disorders was compared using conditional logistic regression analyses with adjustment for income, marital status, place of residence, and method of suicide.
A statistically significant spring peak in suicide was observed in both groups. A history of mood disorders was associated with an increased risk of suicide in spring (for males: RR=1.18, 95% CI 1.07-1.31; for females: RR=1.20, 95% CI 1.10-1.32).
History of axis II disorders was not analyzed. Danish socioeconomical realities have only limited generalizability.
The results support the need to further investigate if exacerbation of mood disorders in spring triggers seasonal peaks of suicide. Identifying triggers for seasonal spring peaks in suicide may lead to uncovering novel risk factors and therapeutic targets for suicide prevention.
季节性春季自杀高峰具有高度可重复性,但起源仍不清楚。由于春季自杀高峰可能是春季心境障碍恶化的结果,我们假设心境障碍的既往史与春季自杀具有预测相关性。
我们根据丹麦死因登记处 1970 年至 2001 年所有 37987 例自杀案例分析了自杀的月度发生率。心境障碍史从丹麦精神病中央登记处获得,社会经济数据从综合劳动力市场研究数据库获得。使用泊松回归估计自杀的月相对比率相对于 12 月。使用条件逻辑回归分析比较心境障碍住院患者与非住院患者之间的自杀季节性,调整收入、婚姻状况、居住地和自杀方式。
两组均观察到自杀的统计学显著春季高峰。心境障碍史与春季自杀风险增加相关(男性:RR=1.18,95%CI 1.07-1.31;女性:RR=1.20,95%CI 1.10-1.32)。
未分析轴 II 障碍史。丹麦社会经济现实具有有限的普遍性。
结果支持进一步调查春季心境障碍恶化是否引发季节性春季自杀高峰的需要。确定季节性春季自杀高峰的触发因素可能会揭示预防自杀的新危险因素和治疗靶点。