Kinezaki Noriko, Kawasaki Kohkichi, Takasu Fugo, Shigesada Nanako
Graduate School of Human Culture, Nara Women's University, Kita-Uoya Nishimach 630-8506, Japan.
Theor Popul Biol. 2003 Nov;64(3):291-302. doi: 10.1016/s0040-5809(03)00091-1.
Range expansion of a single species in a regularly striped environment is studied by using an extended Fisher model, in which the rates of diffusion and reproduction periodically fluctuate between favorable and unfavorable habitats. The model is analyzed for two initial conditions: the initial population density is concentrated on a straight line or at the origin. For each case, we derive a mathematical formula which characterizes the spatio-temporal pattern of range expansion. When initial distribution starts from a straight line, it evolves to a traveling periodic wave (TPW), whose frontal speed is analytically determinable. When the range starts from the origin, it tends to expand radially at a constant average speed in each direction (ray speed) keeping its frontal envelope in a similar shape. By examining the relation between the ray speed and the TPW speed, we derive the ray speed in a parametric form, from which the envelope of the expanding range can be predicted. Thus we analyze how the pattern and speed of the range expansion are affected by the pattern and scale of fragmentation, and the qualities of favorable and unfavorable habitats. The major results include: (1). The envelope of the expanding range show a variety of patterns, nearly circular, oval-like, spindle-like, depending on parameter values; (2). All these patterns are elongated in the direction of stripes; (3). When the scale of fragmentation is enlarged without changing the relative spatial pattern, the ray speed in any direction increases, i.e., the rate of range expansion increases.
利用扩展的费希尔模型研究了单一物种在规则条纹环境中的范围扩展,其中扩散和繁殖率在适宜和不适宜栖息地之间周期性波动。针对两种初始条件分析了该模型:初始种群密度集中在一条直线上或原点处。对于每种情况,我们推导了一个数学公式来表征范围扩展的时空模式。当初始分布从一条直线开始时,它会演变为行波周期波(TPW),其前沿速度可通过解析确定。当范围从原点开始时,它倾向于在每个方向以恒定平均速度(射线速度)径向扩展,同时保持其前沿包络形状相似。通过研究射线速度与TPW速度之间的关系,我们以参数形式推导了射线速度,据此可以预测扩展范围的包络。因此,我们分析了范围扩展的模式和速度如何受到破碎化模式和尺度以及适宜和不适宜栖息地质量的影响。主要结果包括:(1). 扩展范围的包络呈现出各种模式,近乎圆形、椭圆形、纺锤形,这取决于参数值;(2). 所有这些模式在条纹方向上都是拉长的;(3). 当破碎化尺度在不改变相对空间模式的情况下增大时,任何方向上的射线速度都会增加,即范围扩展速率增加。