Scheers N J, Rutherford George W, Kemp James S
Office of Planning and Evaluation, the Consumer Product Safety Commission, Bethesda, Maryland, USA.
Pediatrics. 2003 Oct;112(4):883-9. doi: 10.1542/peds.112.4.883.
To ascertain whether the number of sudden infant deaths as a result of suffocation in cribs, in adult beds, on sofas or chairs, and on other sleep surfaces was increasing whether attributable to increased reporting, diagnostic shift, or an actual increase in suffocation deaths and to compare the risk of reported accidental suffocation for infants on sleep surfaces designed for infants with the risk on adult beds.
We reviewed all accidental suffocation deaths among infants < or =11 months of age reported to the United States Consumer Product Safety Commission from 1980 through 1983 and 1995 through 1998. We compared infants' ages and other demographic data, the sleep location and surface used, and the reported mechanism or pattern of death. For 1995-1998, we used data on sleep location from an annual survey of randomly selected households of living infants younger than 8 months, collected as part of the National Infant Sleep Position Study at the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, to calculate risk for death as a result of suffocation in cribs, in adult beds, and on sofas or chairs.
The number of reported suffocation deaths by location were compared between the 1980s and 1990s using logistic regression modeling to calculate odds ratios (OR), 95% confidence intervals (CI), and P values. Comparative risks for suffocation deaths on a given sleep surface for infants in the 1990s were examined by calculating rates of death per 100 000 exposed infants and comparing the 95% CI for overlap.
From the 1980s, 513 cases of infant suffocation were considered; from the 1990s, 883 cases. The number of reported suffocation deaths in cribs fell from 192 to 107, the number of reported deaths in adult beds increased from 152 to 391, and the number of reported deaths on sofas or chairs increased from 33 to 110. Using cribs as the reference group and adjusting for potential confounders, the multivariate ORs showed that infant deaths in adult beds were 8.1 times more likely to be reported in the 1990s than in the 1980s (95% CI: 3.2-20.3), and infant deaths on sofas and chairs were 17.2 times more likely to be reported in the 1990s than in the 1980s (95% CI: 5.0-59.3). The sleep location of a subset of cases from the 1990s, 348 infants younger than 8 months at death, was compared with the sleep location of 4220 living infants younger than 8 months. The risk of suffocation was approximately 40 times higher for infants in adult beds compared with those in cribs. The increase in risk remained high even when overlying deaths were discounted (32 times higher) or the estimate of rates of bedsharing among living infants doubled (20 times higher).
Reported deaths of infants who suffocated on sleep surfaces other than those designed for infants are increasing. The most conservative estimate showed that the risk of suffocation increased by 20-fold when infants were placed to sleep in adult beds rather than in cribs. The public should be clearly informed of the attendant risks.
确定因在婴儿床、成人床、沙发或椅子以及其他睡眠表面窒息导致的婴儿猝死数量是否因报告增加、诊断转变或窒息死亡实际增加而上升,并比较为婴儿设计的睡眠表面与成人床上婴儿报告的意外窒息风险。
我们回顾了1980年至1983年以及1995年至1998年向美国消费品安全委员会报告的所有11个月及以下婴儿的意外窒息死亡案例。我们比较了婴儿的年龄和其他人口统计学数据、睡眠地点和使用的表面,以及报告的死亡机制或模式。对于1995 - 1998年,我们使用了对随机选择的8个月以下存活婴儿家庭进行年度调查中关于睡眠地点的数据,这些数据是作为国家儿童健康与人类发展研究所国家婴儿睡眠姿势研究的一部分收集的,以计算在婴儿床、成人床以及沙发或椅子上窒息死亡的风险。
使用逻辑回归模型比较20世纪80年代和90年代按地点报告的窒息死亡数量,以计算比值比(OR)、95%置信区间(CI)和P值。通过计算每10万名暴露婴儿的死亡率并比较95% CI是否重叠,研究了20世纪90年代婴儿在给定睡眠表面窒息死亡的比较风险。
20世纪80年代共考虑了513例婴儿窒息案例;20世纪90年代为883例。报告的婴儿床窒息死亡数量从192例降至107例,成人床报告死亡数量从152例增至391例,沙发或椅子上报告死亡数量从33例增至110例。以婴儿床为参照组并对潜在混杂因素进行调整后,多变量OR显示,20世纪90年代成人床上婴儿死亡报告的可能性是20世纪80年代的8.1倍(95% CI:3.2 - 20.3),沙发和椅子上婴儿死亡报告的可能性是20世纪80年代的17.2倍(95% CI:5.0 - 59.3)。将20世纪90年代部分案例(348例死亡时年龄小于8个月的婴儿)的睡眠地点与4220例年龄小于8个月的存活婴儿的睡眠地点进行了比较。与婴儿床中的婴儿相比,成人床上婴儿窒息风险约高40倍。即使不考虑叠加死亡情况(高32倍)或存活婴儿中同床睡眠率估值翻倍(高20倍),风险增加幅度仍然很高。
报告显示,在非为婴儿设计的睡眠表面窒息死亡的婴儿数量在增加。最保守的估计表明,婴儿在成人床上睡觉而非在婴儿床中睡觉时,窒息风险增加了20倍。应向公众明确告知相关风险。