Wei Esther K, Giovannucci Edward, Wu Kana, Rosner Bernard, Fuchs Charles S, Willett Walter C, Colditz Graham A
Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Int J Cancer. 2004 Jan 20;108(3):433-42. doi: 10.1002/ijc.11540.
Predictors of colorectal cancer have been extensively studied with some evidence suggesting that risk factors vary by subsite. Using data from 2 prospective cohort studies, we examined established risk factors to determine whether they were differentially associated with colon and rectal cancer. Our study population included 87,733 women from the Nurses' Health Study (NHS) and 46,632 men from the Health Professionals Follow Up Study (HPFS). Exposure information was collected via biennial questionnaires (dietary variables were collected every 4 years). During the follow-up period (NHS: 1980 to May 31, 2000; HPFS: 1986 to January 31, 2000), we identified 1,139 cases of colon cancer and 339 cases of rectal cancer. We used pooled logistic regression to estimate multivariate relative risks for the 2 outcomes separately and then used polytomous logistic regression to compare these estimates. In the combined cohort, age, gender, family history of colon or rectal cancer, height, body mass index, physical activity, folate, intake of beef, pork or lamb as a main dish, intake of processed meat and alcohol were significantly associated with colon cancer risk. However, only age and sex were associated with rectal cancer. In a stepwise polytomous logistic regression procedure, family history and physical activity were associated with statistically significant different relative risks of colon and rectal cancer. Our findings support previous suggestions that family history and physical activity are not strong contributors to the etiology of rectal cancer. Future investigations of colon or rectal cancer should take into consideration risk factor differences by subsite.
结直肠癌的预测因素已得到广泛研究,一些证据表明风险因素因亚部位而异。利用两项前瞻性队列研究的数据,我们研究了既定的风险因素,以确定它们与结肠癌和直肠癌的关联是否存在差异。我们的研究人群包括来自护士健康研究(NHS)的87733名女性和来自卫生专业人员随访研究(HPFS)的46632名男性。暴露信息通过每两年一次的问卷调查收集(饮食变量每四年收集一次)。在随访期间(NHS:1980年至2000年5月31日;HPFS:1986年至2000年1月31日),我们确定了1139例结肠癌病例和339例直肠癌病例。我们使用合并逻辑回归分别估计这两种结局的多变量相对风险,然后使用多分类逻辑回归比较这些估计值。在合并队列中,年龄、性别、结肠癌或直肠癌家族史、身高、体重指数、体力活动、叶酸、作为主菜的牛肉、猪肉或羊肉摄入量、加工肉类摄入量和酒精摄入量与结肠癌风险显著相关。然而,只有年龄和性别与直肠癌相关。在逐步多分类逻辑回归过程中,家族史和体力活动与结肠癌和直肠癌的相对风险在统计学上有显著差异。我们的研究结果支持了之前的观点,即家族史和体力活动对直肠癌病因的影响不大。未来对结肠癌或直肠癌的研究应考虑亚部位的风险因素差异。